England regions
Notation: EPI -Epidemic Index; ERI - Epidemic Risk Index.
EPI graphs
Data analysis
Statemant 1. All graphs show the 2nd pandemic wave peaks in the middle of October.
Discussion: The time of the peaks is around day 80 from July 21 (the start of the graphs), i.e., 2-3 weeks after the start of the academic year.
Statemant 2. All graphs show that England lockdown measures work. Moreover, the table of scaled 6-day of moving averages reinforces both statements.
Statemant 3. The England entry (column 10) for November 26 - 28 shows the decrease of cases by nearly 40% with respect to the threshold (middle of November). (see the table below "Scaled 6-day moving averages of daily cases").
The England and its regions had the R number/EPI peak on the same date, i.e., the 8th of October. At the end of November, a random spike is observed in 3 English regions: East England (red line on a graph), London (yellow) and South East (purple).
Note: England graph - black line with dots.
Graphs by region
21 July - 28 November 2020
England
East England
East Midlands
London
North East
North West
South East
South West
West Midlands
Yorkshire and The Humber
Table
Scaled 6-day moving averages of daily cases
Abbreviations: EE - East England; EM - East Midlands; LN - London; NE - North East; NW - North West; SE - South East; SW - South West; YH - Yorkshire and the Humber; EN - England.
