EPI vs ERI
2-parameter pandemic description
2-parameter pandemic description
4 possible situations:
4 possible situations:
ERI > 1 and EPI > 1. (Red zone: high risk of an exponential growth).
ERI > 1 and EPI < 1. (Orange/amber zone: moderate risk, the next wave may be large if it starts now).
ERI < 1 and EPI > 1. (Yellow zone: moderately low risk, with the potential to move to a higher level risk).
ERI < 1 and EPI < 1. (Green zone: low risk).
Notation: EPI -Epidemic Index; ERI - Epidemic Risk Index.
Examples
Examples
Graphs on this page for the period: March - June 2020.
Graphs on this page for the period: March - June 2020.
For the latest graphs, see the page More Graphs.
EPI < 1, ERI < 1
EPI < 1, ERI < 1
Risk level - low. Alert level - GREEN.
Risk level - low. Alert level - GREEN.
The Italy Epidemic Index
The Italy Epidemic Index
Italy: ERI Graph
Italy: ERI Graph
The UK Epidemic Index
The UK Epidemic Index
UK: Epidemic Risk Index
UK: Epidemic Risk Index
EPI > 1, ERI < 1
EPI > 1, ERI < 1
Risk level - moderately low. Alert level -YELLOW.
Risk level - moderately low. Alert level -YELLOW.
The Ireland Epidemic Index
The Ireland Epidemic Index
Ireland: ERI Graph
Ireland: ERI Graph
EPI < 1, ERI > 1
EPI < 1, ERI > 1
Risk level - moderate/moderately high. Alert level - AMBER.
Risk level - moderate/moderately high. Alert level - AMBER.
The Chile Epidemic Index
The Chile Epidemic Index
Chile: ERI Graph
Chile: ERI Graph
The Mexico Epidemic Index
The Mexico Epidemic Index
Mexico: ERI Graph
Mexico: ERI Graph
The Qatar Epidemic Index
The Qatar Epidemic Index
Qatar: ERI Graph
Qatar: ERI Graph
EPI > 1, ERI > 1
EPI > 1, ERI > 1
Risk level - high. Alert level - RED.
Risk level - high. Alert level - RED.
The India Epidemic Index
The India Epidemic Index
India: Epidemic Risk Index
India: Epidemic Risk Index
The Iraq Epidemic Index
The Iraq Epidemic Index
Iraq: Epidemic Risk Index
Iraq: Epidemic Risk Index
The UAE Epidemic Index
The UAE Epidemic Index
UAE: Epidemic Risk Index
UAE: Epidemic Risk Index
The US Epidemic Index
The US Epidemic Index
US: Epidemic Risk Index
US: Epidemic Risk Index