Research

Publications (Peer-Reviewed Journals)

Statistical Capacity Matters: The Long-Term Effects of Africa's Slave Trade on Development Reflected by Nighttime Light Intensity (joint with Adalbert Winkler), Journal of African Economies, Vol. 32, Pages: 383-414, 2023. 

Abstract

Empirical research depends on reliable data. Yet in many countries, statistical agencies do not have the capacity to collect high-quality data on economic development. This is especially the case in Africa, where the capacity to collect such data is affected by the same historical factors that explain economic development - in particular, the slave trade. We hypothesize that the impact of the slave trade on economic development in Africa is biased because cross-country heterogeneity in statistical capacity related to the slave trade creates a non-classical measurement error in GDP per capita. Our empirical evidence supports this view. When replacing GDP per capita by nighttime light intensity per capita - an indicator of economic development unrelated to statistical capacity - the impact of the slave trade on economic development drops by a factor of 2 to 4 depending on model specification and estimation methodology (OLS, IV, and high-dimensional sparse models). Various robustness tests further corroborate our main hypothesis.

Link to publication: https://doi.org/10.1093/jae/ejac020

The Impact of ADHD Genetic Risk on Educational Achievement: A Comparative Cross-National Study (joint with Bernhard C. Dannemann), Oxford Economic Papers, Vol. 75, Pages: 1-34, 2023. 

Abstract

Human capital accumulation is a key driver of economic development across countries. Although previous studies have shown that country-specific circumstances (e.g., cultural, health-related, and educational factors) are strongly related with the accumulation of human capital in society, few studies have explored the importance of innate ability factors in general and ADHD-related behavioral symptoms in particular for cognitive skill outcomes. This paper hypothesizes and empirically establishes the educational burden of the ADHD-related behavioral symptoms on aggregate cognitive achievement outcomes. We use a novel compilation of the 2- and 7-repeat allele variants of the human DRD4 exon III gene that candidate gene association studies have identified as an important biomarker in the etiology of childhood ADHD. We find that our indicator for the prevalence of ADHD genetic risk in society has a negative and statistically significant impact on educational achievement. Additional sensitivity tests and estimation methods further corroborate our main hypothesis.

Link to publication: https://doi.org/10.1093/oep/gpac019

The Relationship Between Age and Subjective Well-Being: Estimating Within and Between Effects Simultaneously (joint with Philipp Biermann and Jürgen Bitzer), The Journal of the Economics of Ageing, 2022, Vol. 21, Article 100366

Abstract

In this paper, we employ a correlated random effects econometric framework to simultaneously estimate the within and between effects of age on subjective well-being based on longitudinal survey data from the German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP). The proposed approach helps to explain differing findings on the relationship between age and subjective well-being reported in a series of studies based on cross-sectional and/or longitudinal panel data. We find empirical support for a wave-like pattern of subjective well-being over the life course. In contrast to the existing literature, our results point to significantly different life cycle patterns for the within- and between-person results. While the between-person results show robust turning points of age around the mid-40s and 90s, the within-person findings indicate that subjective well-being is rather stable between age 16 and 23 and then approaches a local maximum at age 75. We show that the type of variation employed in the empirical analysis (e.g., cross-sectional vs. longitudinal panel) of the age-well-being association has a non-negligible impact on the obtained results and the inferences drawn. Moreover, we do not find support of a U-shape association between subjective well-being and age. This finding holds even if we restrict the sample to those survey respondents aged 18-65 years, indicating that the age-well-being relationship is more complex than a U-shape would predict. A series of additional robustness tests corroborate our main findings.

Link to publication: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeoa.2021.100366

Genetic, Cultural, and Historical Determinants of Knowledge Creation, Macroeconomic Dynamics, Vol. 26, Pages: 1833-1890, October 2022.

Abstract

Knowledge creation has been a pivotal ingredient of endogenous growth theory to understand differences in standards of living across countries. Yet, the identification of key drivers explaining cross-country differences in knowledge creation still remains a topic of central interest in this research field. In this paper, I provide a framework to hypothesize and empirically test the persistent effects of novelty-seeking traits on cross-country differences in scientific knowledge creation. The results suggest a positive and statistically significant relationship between both outcomes that is consistent with the hypothesis that the prevalence of novelty-seeking traits in society facilitates scientific knowledge creation through beneficial human behaviors related to risk-taking and explorative behavior. The empirical findings remain qualitatively unaffected when controlling for additional historical, biogeographical, and socioeconomic factors that appear as additional important determinants in the creation of scientific knowledge in society.  

Link to publication: https://doi.org/10.1017/S1365100521000092

Wired In? Genetic Traits and Entrepreneurship Around the World (joint with Sorin M. S. Krammer), Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2021, Vol. 168, Article 120788. 

Abstract

Entrepreneurship is a cornerstone of technological innovation and economic development. We posit that the genetic make-up of countries (populations) will affect the extent of their engagement in entrepreneurial activities, in addition to the factors showcased by prior literature (e.g., institutions, culture, socio-economic, demographic, or historical). To test this conjecture we employ a country-level genetic measure that is commonly associated with novelty- and risk-seeking behaviours using the frequency of the 2- and 7-repeat allele variants of the DRD4 exon III gene. Our results confirm a systematic, positive association between genetics and entrepreneurial activities across 97 countries using a large set of controls and battery of robustness tests. These findings reconcile the "nature versus nurture" debate with respect to entrepreneurial activities around the world and provide some valuable insights on the significance of different determinants of entrepreneurship.

Link to publication: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2021.120788

Absorption of Foreign Knowledge: The Impact of Immigrants on Firm Productivity (joint with Jürgen Bitzer and Sanne Kruse-Becher), Industrial and Corporate Change, Vol. 30, Issue 3, June 2021, Pages: 706-739. 

Abstract

What role do immigrants play in firms’ ability to absorb and apply foreign knowledge? Based on a matched employer-employee dataset from Danish manufacturing firms over the period 2001 to 2011, this study examines the impact of foreign knowledge accessible by firms’ immigrant employees on firm-level total factor productivity (TFP). We construct various firm-specific absorbable foreign knowledge measures that link firms’ immigrant employees to the technological knowledge base of their country of origin. The empirical results suggest that firms employing immigrant employees have higher firm-level TFP outcomes and a higher probability of new firm-level patent applications. The average productivity gain associated with the hiring of one immigrant employee is about 1.5 percent in the year following the firm’s hiring decision. Additional results show that the estimated productivity increase varies with the level of education and the occupational positions of the immigrant employees. The results are robust to the inclusion of a large range of firm-specific controls and various sensitivity checks.  

Link to publication: https://doi.org/10.1093/icc/dtaa047

Consequences of Linguistic Distance for Economic Growth, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 80, Issue 3, June 2018, Pages: 625-658. 

Abstract

This paper advances a new country‐level measure of ethno‐linguistic diversity, making use of Greenberg's definition of diversity by synthesizing information on the share of different ethno‐linguistic groups in a country's population and, more importantly, information on intergroup linguistic distances derived from a recently developed lexicostatistical approach. I show that this measure captures ethno‐linguistic diversity at lower levels of linguistic aggregation. However, unlike the commonly used phylogenetic language tree approach, I found that these distance‐weighted diversity measures continue to have a strong negative statistical association with economic growth that is not sensitive to the underlying resemblance function between ethno‐linguistic groups. 

Link to publication: https://doi.org/10.1111/obes.12205

The Persistent Effects of Novelty-Seeking Traits on Comparative Economic Development, Journal of Development Economics, Vol. 126, May 2017, Pages: 112-126. 

Abstract

The issue of novelty-seeking traits have been related to important economic attitudes such as risk-taking, entrepreneurial, and explorative behaviors that foster technological progress and, thus, economic development. However, numerous molecular genetic studies have shown that novelty-seeking bearing individuals are prone to certain psychological “disadvantages” such as Attention Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD), leading to occupational and educational difficulties in modern societies. Using a recent compilation of DRD4 exon III allele frequencies – a particular gene variant that population geneticists have found to be sometimes associated with the human phenotype of novelty-seeking behavior – this paper advances a new country-level measure on the prevalence of novelty-seeking traits for a large number of countries worldwide. The results suggest a stable non-monotonic inverted U-shaped relationship between the country-level DRD4 exon III allele frequency measure and economic development. This finding is suggestive of the potential “benefits” and “costs” of novelty-seeking traits for the aggregate economy. 

Link to publication: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2016.12.009

The Biogeographic Origins of Novelty-Seeking Traits, Evolution and Human Behavior, Vol. 37, Issue 6, 2016, Pages: 456-469.  

Abstract

This paper empirically investigates the evolutionary drivers of between-population variation of the human DRD4 exon III locus, a particular gene associated with the human personality trait of novelty-seeking behavior. Providing a novel compilation of worldwide DRD4 exon III allele frequencies in a large sample of indigenous populations around the world, this study employs population-specific biogeographic indicators to test the hypothesis of natural selection acting on the set of DRD4 exon III allele variants. The estimates suggest that migratory distance from East Africa and various population-specific biogeographic indicators, such as latitude, land suitability for agriculture, pasture land, and terrain ruggedness, contributed significantly to overall between-population DRD4 exon III polymorphism.

Link to publication: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.evolhumbehav.2016.04.005 

Measuring Capital Services by Energy Use: An Empirical Comparative Study (joint with Jürgen Bitzer), Applied Economics, Vol. 48, Issue 53, 2016, Pages: 5152-5167.

Abstract

From an engineering perspective, the service that a capital good provides is energy conversion – that is, the physical "work" done by a machine. A capital good's service can thus be measured directly by the energy consumed in production. We show important empirical advantages of this approximation over traditional measures. The empirical application reveals that this approach avoids a number of conceptual problems of the latter. Furthermore, this measure captures the utilization of the capital stock more accurately as it is more sensitive to fluctuations in economic activity. With a growth accounting exercise, it is shown that the differences between the new and the traditional measures are important for empirical work. Using the new measure yields significantly different results. Especially in times of global recession it provides higher and more feasible total factor productivity growth rates. 

Link to publication: https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2016.1173178

How Ethnic Diversity Affects Economic Growth, World Development, Vol. 59, July 2014, Pages: 275-297. 

Abstract

This paper investigates the empirical relationship between ethnic diversity, polarization, and economic growth. Ethnicity is assumed to affect economic growth through a number of possible transmission channels that are generally included in cross-country growth regressions. This paper provides an extensive empirical analysis shedding light on the various sources through which ethnic diversity and polarization affects economic growth indirectly. It advances and empirically establishes the hypothesis that ethnic diversity has a strong direct negative impact on economic growth, whereas ethnic polarization has non-negligible indirect economic effects through the specified channel variables.

Link to publication: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2014.01.012

Discussion Papers

How the Well-Being Function Varies with Age: The Importance of Income, Health, and Social Relations over the Life Cycle  (joint with Jürgen Bitzer and Heinz Welsch), University of Oldenburg, Department of Economics, Working Paper V-442-23, 2023. 

Abstract

Previous literature has identified income, poor health and social relationships as the most important predictors of subjective well-being (SWB). In addition, the literature has identified a non-linear relationship between age and SWB, with a dip in SWB in mid-life. Explanations of the non-linear age-SWB relationship include the notion of unmet aspirations and the idea that people's emotional response to the drivers of SWB changes with age. Against this background, we use representative longitudinal data for Germany (1992-2019) with about 570,000 observations for more than 88,000 individuals aged 16-105 years to investigate if and how the association between SWB and its main predictors changes over the life cycle. Using fixed effects estimation to control for cohort effects and unobserved personal characteristics, we find that the marginal effects of income and social relationships vary with age in a wave-like fashion, while the negative marginal effect of poor health increases monotonically and progressively with age. Our results are similar for alternative measures of SWB (life satisfaction and living in misery) and for men and women. The age-related changes in the importance of income and social relationships for SWB found in this paper help to explain the relationship between age and SWB found in previous literature. 

Link to working paper: https://uol.de/f/2/dept/wire/fachgebiete/vwl/V-442-23.pdf?v=1688462912 

Locust Infestations and Individual School Dropout: Evidence from Africa  (joint with Abigail O. Asare and Bernhard C. Dannemann), University of Oldenburg, Department of Economics, Working Paper V-440-23, 2023. 

Abstract

This paper examines the effect of desert locust infestations on school enrollment of children and young adults between 3 and 24 years of age. We combine individual and household survey data from the 2005-2019 Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) Program with data on the spatial distribution of locust events in Africa. We show that months of exposure to locust infestations have a negative and statistically significant impact on individual schooling status. We find that individuals from farming households are affected more negatively by locust infestations than individuals from non-farming households. We also find that individuals from poorer farming households have a higher school dropout rate than individuals from wealthier farming households, highlighting the role of negative income shocks as a possible transmission mechanism for the effects of desert locust events. Our results also show that the estimated effect is amplified by the household’s head educational status. A series of additional robustness tests further corroborate our main findings. We provide a quantitative assessment of the impact of a permanent 1.5 °C rise in global temperature on the frequency of locust events and possible implications for schooling outcomes over time. The results show that a 1.5 °C rise in temperature will decrease accumulated years of schooling by about 1.2 years over a period of 10 years. 

Link to working paper: https://uol.de/f/2/dept/wire/fachgebiete/vwl/V-440-23.pdf?v=1675778834 

The Educational Burden of ADHD: Evidence From Student Achievement Test Scores (joint with Bernhard C. Dannemann), University of Oldenburg, Department of Economics, Working Paper V-408-18, 2018. 

Abstract

This paper hypothesizes and empirically establishes the educational burden of the ADHD-related behavioral symptoms inattention and/or hyperactivity-impulsivity on aggregate cognitive achievement outcomes. We use a novel compilation of the 2- and 7-repeat allele variants of the human DRD4 exon III gene that candidate gene association studies have identified as an important biomarker in the etiology of childhood ADHD. The main results show a negative and statistically significant association between aggregate international student achievement test scores and the DRD4 exon III 2- and 7-repeat allele frequency measure in a cross-section of 81 countries. This finding is robust to the inclusion of additional country-specific historical, cultural, socioeconomic, biogeographic, health-related, educational, genetic, and diversity factors. Additional estimates suggest the predictive power of the country-level DRD4 exon III 2- and 7-repeat allele frequency measure on cross-country differences of estimated ADHD prevalence rates, confirming the reliability of the proposed biomarker for the measurement of ADHD-related behavioral symptoms in the general population. 

Link to working paper: http://www.vwl.uni-oldenburg.de/download/V-408-18.pdf 

Foreign Aid and Subnational Development: A Grid Cell Analysis  (joint with Jürgen Bitzer), University of Oldenburg, Department of Economics, Working Paper V-407-18, 2018. 

Abstract

We examine the impact of geo-referenced World Bank development programs on subnational development using equally sized grid cells with a spatial resolution of 0.5 decimal degrees latitude and longitude as the unit of investigation. The proposed grid cell approach solves a number of endogeneity problems discussed in the aid effectiveness literature that make it difficult to identify the true effect of foreign aid on development outcomes due to the presence of unobserved heterogeneity, lack of key country-level controls, aggregation bias, simultaneity and/or the presence of reverse causality in the association between foreign aid and economic growth, measurement errors, and endogenous sample selection bias. The estimates reveal that World Bank foreign aid projects contribute significantly to grid cell economic activity measured by night-time lights growth. This finding is robust to the presence of unobserved country-year and grid-cell-specific unobserved heterogeneity, and to the inclusion of a full set of grid-cell-specific socioeconomic, demographic, conflict-related, biogeographic, and climatic controls. Additional sensitivity tests confirm the robustness of the main findings to various econometric estimators, alternative model specifications, and different spatial aggregation levels. 

Link to working paper: http://www.vwl.uni-oldenburg.de/download/V-407-18.pdf

Work in Progress