Publications
2024
Taylor J, Simpson C, Brousse O, Viitanen A-K, Heaviside C (2024) The potential of urban trees to reduce heat-related mortality in London. Environmental Research Letters 19 054004
Lo Iacono G, Cook A, Derks G, Fleming LE, French N, Gillingham EL, Gonzalez Villeta LC, Heaviside C, La Ragione RM, Leonardi G, Sarran C, Vardoulakis S, Senyah F, van Vliet AHM, Nichols GL (2024) A mathematical, classical stratification modeling approach to disentangling the impact of weather on infectious diseases: a case study using spatio-temporally disaggregated Campylobacter surveillance data for England and Wales PLoS Computational Biology, 2024
2023
Simpson CH, Brousse O, Ebi KL, Heaviside C (2023) Commonly used indices disagree about the effect of moisture on heat stress NPJ Climate and Atmospheric Science 6 (1), 78
Macintyre H, Mitsakou C, Vieno M, Heal MR, Heaviside C, Exley KS (2023) Future impacts of O3 on respiratory hospital admission in the UK from current emissions policies. Environment International. 108046.
Brousse O, Simpson C, Kenway O, Martilli A, Krayenhoff ES, Zonato A, Heaviside C (2023) Spatially Explicit Correction of Simulated Urban Air Temperatures Using Crowdsourced Data Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology 62 (11), 1539-1572
Macintyre H, Mitsakou C, Vieno M, Heal MR, Heaviside C, Exley KS (2023) Impact of emissions policies on future UK mortality burdens associated with air pollution. Environment International. 174-107862. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0160412023001356
Cole R, Hajat S, Murage P, Heaviside C, Macintyre H, Davies M, Wilkinson P (2023) The contribution of demographic changes to future heat-related health burdens under climate change scenarios. Environment International 107836. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0160412023001095
Simpson C, Brousse O, Mohajeri N, Davies M, Heaviside C (2023) An open-source survey of green roofs in London using segmentation of aerial imagery. Earth System Science Data Discussions. 1-27. https://essd.copernicus.org/articles/15/1521/2023/essd-15-1521-2023.html
2022
Brousse O, Simpson C, Walker N, Fenner D, Meier F, Taylor J, Heaviside C (2022) Evidence of horizontal urban heat advection in London using six years of data from a citizen weather station network. Environmental Research Letters https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ac5c0f
Mavrogianni A, Taylor J, Milojevic A, Oikonomou E, Heaviside C, Tsoulou I, Petrou G, Symonds P, Davies M, Wilkinson P (2022). Urban Overheating: Heat mitigation and the impact on health. In: Urban Overheating and Impact on Health: An Introduction Springer, Singapore 171-180
Mavrogianni A, Taylor J, Milojevic A, Oikonomou E, Heaviside C, Tsoulou I, Petrou G, Symonds P, Davies M, Wilkinson P (2022). Heat-related mortality in London. In: Urban Overheating and Impact on Health: An Introduction Springer, Singapore 171-180.
2021
Heaviside C, Taylor J, Brousse O, Simpson C (2021) Why high-resolution climate modelling matters: Cities and Health. Buildings and Cities https://www.buildingsandcities.org/zh/insights/commentaries/hi-res-model.html
Taylor J, Ferguson L, Mavrogianni A, Heaviside C (2021) Climate Justice and English Dwellings. Buildings and Cities https://www.buildingsandcities.org/insights/commentaries/climate-justice-dwellings.html
Goodess C, Berk S, Bishoyi Ratna S, Brousse O, Davies M, Heaviside C, Moore G, Pineo H (2021) Climate change projections for sustainable and healthy cities. Buildings and Cities 2:812-836 https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7611885/
Mohajeri N, Walch A, Gudmundssen A, Heaviside C, Askari S, Wilkinson P, Davies M (2021) Covid-19 mobility restrictions: impacts on urban quality and health. Buildings and Cities 2(1): 759-778 https://europepmc.org/article/pmc/pmc7611887
Romanello et al. (2021) The 2021 report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: code red for a healthy future. The Lancet 398, 10311 p1619-1662 https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(21)01787-6
Taylor J, Symonds P, Heaviside C, Chalabi Z, Davies M, Wilkinson P (2021) Projecting the impacts of housing on temperature-related mortality in London during typical future years. Energy and Buildings 249 (111233) https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2021.111233
Macintyre M, Heaviside C, Cai X, Phalkey R (2021) The winter urban heat island: impacts on cold-related mortality in a highly urbanized European region for present and future climate. Environment International. 154, p.106606. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envint.2021.106530
Macintyre M, Heaviside C, Cai X, Phalkey R (2021) Comparing temperature-related mortality impacts of cool roofs in winter and summer in a highly urbanized European region for present and future climate. Environment International. 154, p.106530. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envint.2021.106606
Stavi I, Roque de Pinho J, Paschalidou A, Adamo S, Galvin K, de Sherbinin A, Even T, Heaviside C, van der Geest K (2021) Food security among dryland pastoralists and agropastoralists: The climate, land-use change, and population dynamics nexus. The Anthropocene Review. p.20530196211007512. https://doi.org/10.1177/20530196211007512
Heaviside C, Witham C, Vardoulakis S (2021) Potential health impacts from sulphur dioxide and sulphate exposure in the UK resulting from an Icelandic effusive volcanic eruption. Science of the Total Environment. 774(2021) 145549 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.145549
Fenech S, Doherty R, O'Connor F, Heaviside C, Macintyre H, Vardoulakis S, Agnew P, Neal L (2019). Future air pollution related health burdens associated with RCP emission changes in the UK. Science of the Total Environment. 773(2021) 145635 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.145635
2020
Mitchell, D., Allen, M., Ebi, K.L., Gasparrini, A., Heaviside, C., Lo, E.Y.T., Vicedo-Cabrera, A.M. (2020) Concerns over calculating injury-related deaths associated with temperature. Nature Medicine 26, 65-70 (2020) https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-019-0721-y
Arbuthnott K.A, Hajat S., Heaviside C., Vardoulakis S. (2020) Years of life lost and mortality due to heat and cold in the three largest English cities. Environment International. 144(2020) 105966 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envint.2020.105966
Heaviside C (2020) Urban Heat Islands and their associated impacts on health. Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Environmental Science. https://doi.org/10.1093/acrefore/9780199389414.013.332
2019
Almendra R, Santana P, Mitsakou C, Heaviside C, Samoli E, Rodopoulou S, Katsouyanni K, Vardoulakis S (2019) Cold-related mortality in three European metropolitan areas: Athens, Lisbon and London. Implications for health promotion. Urban Climate. 30(2019) 100532. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.uclim.2019.100532
Sharpe R A, Machray K E, Fleming L E, Taylor T, Henley W, Chenore T, Hutchcroft I, Taylor J, Heaviside C & Wheeler B W (2019). Household energy efficiency and health: Area-level analysis of hospital admissions in England. Environment International. 133(2019) 105164. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envint.2019.105164
Fenech S, Doherty R, Heaviside C, Macintyre H, O'Connor F, Vardoulakis S. Neal L, Agnew P (2019). Meteorological drivers and mortality associated with O3 and PM2.5 air pollution episodes in the UK in 2006. Atmospheric Environment. 213: 699-710 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2019.06.030
Carnell E, Vieno M, Vardoulakis S, Beck R, Heaviside C, Tomlinson S, Dragosits U, Heal M, Reis S (2019). Modelling public health improvements as a result of air pollution control policies in the UK over four decades – 1970 to 2010. Environmental Research Letters. 14 074001 https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab1542
Macintyre H and Heaviside C (2019). Potential benefits of cool roofs in reducing heat-related mortality during heatwaves in a European city. Environment International. 127, 430-441. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envint.2019.02.065
Heaviside C (2019). Understanding the impacts of climate change on health to better manage adaptation action. Atmosphere 10(3), 119. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos10030119
Mitsakou C, Dimitroulopoulou S, Heaviside C, Katsouyanni K, Samoli E, Rodopoulou S, Costa C, Almendra R, Santana P, Dell'Olmo M M, Borell, C, Corman D, Zengarini N, Deboosere P, Franke C, Schweikart J, Lustigova M, Spyrou C, de Hoog K, Fecht D, Gulliver J, Vardoulakis S (2019) Environmental public health risks in European metropolitan areas within the EURO-HEALTHY project. Science of the Total Environment. 658: 1630-1639. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.12.130
Bassett R, Cai X-M, Chapman L, Heaviside C, Thornes J. (2019) Semi-idealised urban heat advection simulations using the WRF mesoscale model. International Journal of Climatology 39 (3), 1345-1358. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.5885
2018
Nichols G, Lake I, Heaviside C. (2018) Climate Change and Water-Related Infectious Diseases. Atmosphere 9(10), 385. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos9100385
Arbuthnott K.A, Hajat S., Heaviside C., Vardoulakis S. (2018) What is cold-related mortality? A multi-disciplinary perspective to inform climate change assessments. Environment International. 121(1), 119-129. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envint.2018.08.053
Vicedo-Cabrera AM, Guo Y, Sera F, Huber V, Schleussner C-F, Mitchell D, Tong S, Zanotti Staglioro Coelho M, Saldiva PHN, Lavigne E, Matus Correa P, Valdez Ortega N, Kan H, Osorio S, Kysely J, Urban A, Jaakkola JJK, Ryti NRI, Pascal M, Goodman PG, Zeka A, Michelozzi P, Scortichini M, Hashizume M, Honda Y, Hurtado M, Cruz De La Cruz JC, Seposo X, Kim H, Tobias A, Iniguez C, Forsberg B, Astrom DO, Ragettli MS, Roosli M, Guo YL, Wu C, Zanobetti A, Schwartz J, Bell ML, Ngoc Dang T, Do Van S, Heaviside C, Vardoulakis S, Hajat S, Haines A, Armstrong B, Ebi KL, Gasparrini A (2018) Temperature-mortality impacts under and beyond Paris Agreement climate change scenarios. Climatic Change (2018) 150: 391. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-018-2274-3
Mitchell D, Heaviside C, Schaller N, Allen M, Ebi K, Fischer E, Gasparrini A, Harrington L, Kharin S, Shiogama H, Sillmann J, Sippel S, and Vardoulakis S (2018) Extreme heat-related mortality avoided under Paris Agreement goals, Nature Climate Change 8, 551–553 (2018) https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0210-1
Fleming LE, Leonardi G, White M, Medlock J, Alcock I, Macintyre HL, Maguire K, Nichols G, Wheeler BW, Morris G, Taylor T, Hemming D, Lo Iacono G, Gillingham EL, Hansford KM, Heaviside C, Bone A, Duarte-Davidson R (2018) Beyond Climate Change and Health: Integrating Broader Environmental Change and Natural Environments for Public Health Protection and Promotion in the UK. Atmosphere 2018, 9(7), 245 https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos9070245
Taylor J, Symonds P, Wilkinson P, Heaviside C, Macintyre HL, Davies M, Mavrogianni A, Hutchinson E (2018) Estimating the influence of housing energy efficiency and overheating adaptations on heat-related mortality in the West Midlands, UK. Atmosphere 2018, 9(5), 190 https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos9050190
Fenech S, Doherty R, Heaviside C, Macintyre H, O'Connor F, Vardoulakis S. (2018) The influence of model spatial resolution on simulated ozone and fine particulare matter: implications for health impact assessments. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 18, 5765-5784, 2018. https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-5765-2018
Macintyre H, Heaviside C, Taylor J, Picetti R, Symonds P, Cai, X, Vardoulakis S. (2018) Assessing urban population vulnerability and environmental risks across an urban area during heatwaves - implications for health protection. Science of the Total Environment. 610-611:678-690. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.08.062
Taylor J, Wilkinson P, Picetti R, Symonds P, Heaviside C, Macintyre HL, Mavrogianni A, Hutchinson E, Davies M (2018) Comparison of built environment adaptations to heat exposure and mortality during hot weather, West Midlands region, UK. Environment International 111, 287-294 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envint.2017.11.005
2017
Gasparrini An Guo Y, Sera F, Vicedo-Cabrera AM, Huber V, Tong S, de Sousa Zanotti M, Coelho S, Hilario Nascimento Saldiva P, Lavigne E, Matus Correa P, Valdes Ortega N, Kan H, Osorio S, Kysely J, Urban A, Jaakkola JJK, Ryti Niilo RI, Pascal M, Goodman PG, Zeka A, Michelozzi P, Scortichini M, Hashizume M, Honda Y, Hurtado-Diaz M, Cesar Cruz J, Seposo X, Kim H, Tobias A, Iniguez C, Forsberg B, Oudin Astrom D, Ragettli MS, Guo YL, Wu C, Zanobetti A, Schwartz J, Bell ML, Ngoc Dang T, Do Van D, Heaviside C, Vardoulakis S, Hajat S, Haines A, Armstrong B (2017) Projections of temperature-related excess mortality under climate change scenarios. Lancet Planetary Health. 2017 Dec; 1(9): e360–e367. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2542-5196(17)30156-0
Heaviside C, Macintyre H, Vardoulakis S. (2017) The Urban Heat Island: Implications for health in a changing environment. 4(296-305) Current Environmental Health Reports https://doi.org/10.1007/s40572-017-0150-3
Bassett R, Cai X-M, Chapman L, Heaviside C, Thornes J. (2017) The effects of heat advection on UK weather and climate observations in the vicinity of small urbanised areas. Boundary Layer Meteorology 165(1) 181-196. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10546-017-0263-0
Bassett R, Cai X-M, Chapman L, Heaviside C, Thornes J. (2017) Methodology to separate urban from regional heat advection by use of the Weather Research and Forecasting mesoscale model. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 143: 2016–2024. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3062
Santana P, Costa C, Freitas A, Stefanik I, Quintal C, Bana E Costa C, Borrel C, Dimitroulopoulou S, Lopes Ferreira P, Krafft T, Oliveira M, Pikhart Stéphane Rican H, Vardoulakis S, Almendra R, Bana E Costa J, Bosakova L, Burstrom B, Corman D, Costa G, Cunha L, Deboosere P, Drbohlav D, Dzurova D, Franke C, Freitas I, Gama R, Gotsens M, Hadewijch V, Hajduova Z, Heaviside C, Jose Malva J, Katsouyanni K, Lopes A, Lustigova M, Mari-Dell’olmo M, Michelsen K, Mitsakou C, Morrison J, Nossa P, Palencia L, Patriarca J. Pieper J, Pilot E, Podopoulo S, Rodrigues T, Rodriguez-Sanz M, Rosicova Gérard Salem K, Samoli E, Schweikart J, Squiban C, Tavares Quentin Tenailleau A,I, Tkac M, Ueberschar N (2017) Atlas of Population Health in European Union Regions. Coimbra University Press, 2017, 978-989-26-1462-5
Godin-Beekmann, S, Petropavloskikh, I, Reis, S, Newman P, Steinbrecht W, Rex M, Santee ML, Eckman RS, Zheng X, Tully MB, Stevenson DS, Young P, Pyle J. Weber M, Tamminen J, Mills G, Bais AF, Heaviside C, Zerefos C. (2017) The Quadrennial Ozone Symposium 2016. Adv. Atmos. Sci. 34(3) 283-288. doi:10.1007/s00376-016-6309-2
2016
Macintyre HL, Heaviside C, Neal L, Agnew P, Thornes J, Vardoulakis S. (2016) Mortality and emergency hospitalizations associated with atmospheric particulate matter episodes across the UK in spring 2014. Environment International. 97, 108-116 PDF
Heaviside C, Tsangari H, Paschalidou AK, Vardoulakis S, Kassomenos PA, Georgiou KE, Yamasaki EN. (2016) Heat related mortality in Cyprus for current and future climate scenarios. Science of the Total Environment 569, 627-633 Link to PDF
Mitchell D, Heaviside C, Vardoulakis S, Huntingford C, Masato G, Guillod B, Frumhoff P, Bowery A, Wallom D, Allen M. (2016) Attributing human mortality during extreme heat waves to anthropogenic climate change. Environmental Research Letters 11 (074776) Link to paper and video abstract
Bassett R, Cai X-M, Chapman L, Heaviside C, Thornes J, Muller CL, Young DT, Warren EL. Observations of urban heat island advection from a high-density monitoring network. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 142: 2434-2441 Link to PDF
Atkinson RA, Butland BK, Dimitroulopoulou C, Heal MR, Steadman JR, Carslaw N, Jarvis D, Heaviside C, Vardoulakis S, Walton H, Anderson HR. (2016) Long-term exposure to ambient ozone and mortality: a quantitative systematic review and meta-analysis of evidence from cohort studies BMJ Open; 6:e009493.doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2015-009493 Link to PDF
Heaviside C, Vardoulakis S, Cai X-M (2016). Attribution of mortality to the Urban Heat Island during heatwaves in the West Midlands, UK, Environmental Health. 15(Suppl 1):27 Link to PDF
Arbuthnott K., Hajat S., Heaviside C., Vardoulakis S. (2016). Changes in population susceptibility to heat and cold over time: assessing adaptation to climate change, Environmental Health. 15(Suppl 1):33 Link to PDF
Salmond J, Tadaki M, Vardoulakis S, Arbuthnott K, Coutts A, Demuzere M, Dirks K Heaviside C, Lim S, Macintyre H, McInnes R, Wheeler B (2016) Ecosystem services provided by street trees in the urban environment and their implications for human health in a changing climate Environmental Health. 15(Suppl 1):33 Link to PDF
Tsangari H, Paschalidou AK, Kassomenos AP, Vardoulakis S, Heaviside C, Georgiou KE, Yamasaki EN (2016) Extreme weather and air pollution effects on cardiovascular and respiratory hospital admissions in Cyprus. Science of the Total Environment. 542, 247-253. PDF
Symonds P, Taylor J, Chalabi Z, Mavrogianni A, Davies M, Hamilton I, Vardoulakis S, Heaviside C, Macintyre H (2016): Development of an England-wide indoor overheating and air pollution model using artificial neural networks, Journal of Building Performance Simulation, DOI:10.1080/19401493.2016.1166265
Tsangari H, Paschalidou A, Vardoulakis S, Heaviside C, Konsoula Z, Christou S, Georgiou K, Ioannou K, Mesimeris T, Kleanthous S et al (2016) Human mortality in Cyprus: the role of temperature and particulate air pollution. Reg Environ Change:1-9. PDF
2015
Heaviside C., Cai, X.-M., Vardoulakis, S. (2015). The effects of horizontal advection on the Urban Heat Island in Birmingham and the West Midlands, UK during a heatwave. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. 141, 1429–1441. PDF
Vardoulakis S., Dimitroulopoulou S., Thornes J.E., Lai K-M., Taylor J., Myers I., Heaviside C., Mavrogianni A., Shrubsole C., Chalabi Z., Davies M., Wilkinson P. (2015). Impact of climate change on the domestic indoor environment and associated health risks in the UK. Environment International. 85, 299-313. PDF
Vardoulakis S., Dear K., Hajat S., Heaviside C., Eggen B., McMichael A.J. (2014). Comparative assessment of the effects of climate change on heat and cold related mortality in the UK and Australia. Environmental Health Perspectives. 122, 1285-1292 PDF
2014
Hames, D., Heaviside, C., Hopkin, A., Vardoulakis, S., Thornes, J., Panzeri, M. (2014) Indicators to assess the resilience of health and emergency planning in England to the projected impacts of climate change. Adaptation Sub Committee, Committee on Climate Change
Hajat, S., Vardoulakis, S., Heaviside, C. and Eggen, B. (2014) Climate change effects on human health: projections of temperature-related mortality for the UK during the 2020s, 2050s, and 2080s. Journal of Epidemiology & Community Health. 68 (7), 641-648. PDF
2013
Heal, M.R., Heaviside, C., Doherty, R.M., Vieno, M., Stevenson D.S., Vardoulakis, S. (2013) Health burdens of surface ozone in the UK for a range of future scenarios. Environment International. 61, 36-44. PDF
Heaviside, C. and Czaja, A. (2013) Deconstructing the Hadley Cell heat transport. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. 138: 2181-2189. PDF
2012
Heaviside, C. and Cai, X. (2012) Regional modelling of the West Midlands Urban Heat Island in the UK during August 2003. In Proceedings of the International Conference on Urban Climates Conference. August 6-10, 2012, Dublin, Abstract number 450. PDF
Vardoulakis, S. and Heaviside, C. [eds.] (2012) Health Effects of Climate Change in the UK 2012 – Current evidence, public health recommendations and research gaps. Health Protection Agency. Centre for Radiation, Chemical and Environmental Hazards, UK. ISBN: 978-0-85951-723-2. Link to PDF
Heaviside, C., Eggen, B. and Thornes, J. (2012). Climate change in the UK : current evidence and projections. In: Health effects of climate change in the UK 2012 – Current evidence, recommendations and research gaps. Vardoulakis, S. and Heaviside, C. (Eds). Health Protection Agency.
Hajat, S., Vardoulakis, S., Heaviside, C. and Eggen, B. (2012). Temperature effects of climate change on human health. In: Health effects of climate change in the UK 2012 – Current evidence, recommendations and research gaps. Vardoulakis, S. and Heaviside, C. (Eds). Health Protection Agency.
Heal, M., Doherty, R., Heaviside, C., Vieno, M., Stevenson, D. and Vardoulakis, S. (2012). Health effects due to changes in air pollution under future scenarios. In: Health effects of climate change in the UK 2012 – Current evidence, recommendations and research gaps. Vardoulakis, S. and Heaviside, C. (Eds). Health Protection Agency.
Stanke, C., Kovats, S., Heaviside, C. and Murray, V. (2012). Health effects of flooding, and adaptation to climate change. In: Health effects of climate change in the UK 2012 – Current evidence, recommendations and research gaps. Vardoulakis, S. and Heaviside, C. (Eds). Health Protection Agency.
IPCC (2012). Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation. A Special Report of Working Groups I and II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Field, C.B., V. Barros, T.F. Stocker, D. Qin, D.J. Dokken, K.L. Ebi, M.D. Mastrandrea, K.J. Mach, G.-K. Plattner, S.K. Allen, M. Tignor, and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, and New York, NY, USA, 582 pp. – (named contributing author) Link to chapter Link to full SREX webpage
2011
Heaviside, C. (2011) Air Quality, Climate and Health. Environmental Scientist, Journal of the Institution of Environmental Sciences, 20(1), 9-12. PDF
Grynszpan, D., Murray, V., Kreis, I., Zenner, D., Vardoulakis, S., Caldin, H., Morgan, D., Heaviside, C., and Heymann, D. (2011). International Dimensions of Climate Change – The Implications for the UK’s Health Sector of the International Dimensions of Climate Change, 2010 to 2100. Foresight, The Government Office for Science, London. Link to report
Pre - 2011
Heaviside, C. (2009) Coupling of oceanic and atmospheric heat transport in the tropics PDF of PhD thesis
Woods, R.C., Cooke, S.G., Helme, J. and Caldwell, C.H. (2001) Gravity Modification by High Temperature Superconductors, AIAA 2001-3363. American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics.