SAN DIEGO, CALIFORNIA (September 10th, 2020). As of today, the website (https://www.usadecides.com) is updated to include analysis of the 2016 Presidential Election. In 2016, most pollsters mis-calculated results in the Battleground States.

Examples:

Polling in Wisconsin predicted a win for Clinton - the polls were off by 7.2%, and Trump won the State.

Polling in Michigan predicted a win for Clinton - the polls were off by 3.7%, and Trump won the State.

Polling in Pennsylvania predicted a win for Clinton - the polls were off by 2.6%, and Trump won the State.

USADecides has factored in the differences between the polling averages and the actual results in the Key Battleground States, and has made a prediction of the outcome in these critical States, tabulating the final results and making our most accurate Election Prediction:

Currently (September 10th, 2020) : USADecides shows:

Biden at: 309 Electoral Votes

Trump at: 229 Electoral Votes

A Win For: Biden

For more information please see details on the Battleground Page

SAN DIEGO, CALIFORNIA (August 31st, 2020). As of today, the the website (https://www.usadecides.com) is updated to include the latest polling, analysis, and favorability ratings for the Presidential Candidates. With more than 95% of registered voters decided upon their support for candidates, the National Polls remain steady. However, a close analysis of the Battleground States shows the race tightening.

Following the Democratic and Republican Party Conventions, USADecides.com analyzed polls from six Battleground States: Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. The aggregate of polling from these six States over the past thirty days, shows increased support for Donald Trump of 2%, and a decline in support for Joe Biden of 1%. A swing towards Donald Trump of between 2.5% and 3% (margin of error is 1%).

It is too early to tell if the swing towards Donald Trump will be sustained or whether support will flatten out. The most significant move towards Donald Trump was recorded in Michigan (a net gain of 5.2% for Donald Trump) and North Carolina (net gain of 4.8% for Donald Trump).

Polling over the next four weeks will reveal the pattern, and then the Presidential Debates are scheduled to start on September 29^th.

Details of the six Battleground States are listed here:

Arizona has Biden at 48.1% and Trump at 45.9%: a swing of 1.5% towards Trump, over 30 days.

Florida has Biden at 49.1% and Trump at 45.4%: a swing of 2.5% towards Trump, over 30 days.

Michigan has Biden at 47.4% and Trump at 44.8%: a swing of 5.2% towards Trump, over 30 days.

North Carolina has Biden at 47% and Trump at 47.3%: a swing of 4.8% towards Trump, over 30 days.

Pennsylvania has Biden at 49% and Trump at 44.3%: level over the past 30 days.

Wisconsin has Biden at 48.1% and Trump at 44.6%: a swing of 1.5% towards Trump, over 30 days.

The official stance today is: “The Race is Narrowing: with a Post-Convention Bump in favor of Trump”

USADecides welcome links to the website and analysis – they are an independent, small site, tracking this election.

https://www.usadecides.com

press@usadecides.com

https://twitter.com/USADecides

SAN DIEGO, CALIFORNIA (August 25th, 2020). As of today, the the website (https://www.usadecides.com) is updated to include the latest polling, analysis, and favorability ratings for the Presidential Candidates. There is no significant Convention Bump for Joe Biden and Kamala Harris, however the trend is steady and tilting slightly upwards. Analysis indicates a vast majority of negative opinion has already polarized voters, even within the elusive Independent Voters.

Likewise, the back-to-back nature of the Democratic and Republican Conventions will negate any significant bump for both Parties, unless significant events happen at the end of this week.

Both candidates have maintained negative approval ratings, however Trump is struggling with an approval averaging 40% and Biden slightly higher at 42%. More analysis is available at the website.

They are confident in the current prediction and have indicated on the site as of today - a 76.3% chance of victory for Joe Biden/Kamala Harris. This is up slightly from the most recent analysis on August 4th, when the prediction showed a 74.9% chance of victory for Joe Biden.

The official stance today is: “The Race is: Tipping Slightly Towards Joe Biden”

USADecides welcome links to the website and analysis – they are an independent, small site, tracking this election.

https://www.usadecides.com

press@usadecides.com

Press/Media: press@usadecides.com