Flying Elephants Love Train Conga Line Land On Cloud (Volatility Research) 1000w

Dec 17, 2012
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Tip #3 this year published recently

Volatility Research algorithms
have predicted here and here
VXX VIX Volatility is in a DOWN trend


Our core principle — Hang out and research our dirty linen more than our clean
Our sole purpose — Crack the VIX volatility code
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We're all volatility + a bit of humor, Shakespeare, Opera and Art  

Frog's Shakespeare Quotes

The gadget spec URL could not be found

All our Forecasts and Tips are published here — Tips are published in the WSJ 
We try to forecast VXX Next-Day Close daily by 3:30 PM, latest by market open

 
qPath and Mosconi Effect M-path predictions for VXX next-day close 
please scroll down past yellow section of humor, Shakespeare, Opera and Art

 
Our qPath and Mosconi Effect M-path algorithms 
VXX next-day close Forecast Scorecard this year thru Thu Dec 13 is
 
Correct         60
Wrong           30
No forecast    148
    Score           67 / 100     (60 / 90)
    Right / Wrong  2.0 / 1       (60 / 30)
 
       This score is not sustainable
 
"Better to trust the man who is frequently in error 
than the one who is never in doubt."
Eric Sevareid

 
Reason Why VXX VIX Volatility
May Have Turned DOWN Again

Dec 12, 2013  Chart 8-1213 Reason Why VXX VIX Volatility Crash May Have Turned DOWN Again
updated thru Fri Dec 14

Click here to see all recent weird, funny and unusual photos and here to see page of all photoshopped photos. All photos linked above will be removed from our site soon. Stay tuned when and why.

Dec 16, 2012  Puppies Really Can Fly
Puppies really can fly

Dec 15, 2012  Big Bird Angry Tackles Horse To Ground Called Him Fake Bird
Angry Bird

Flying Dog With Hot Dog In Mouth
Sad Hot Dog

Dec 11. 2012  Beautiful Woman In Tree At Night
I'm stranded

Flying Giraffe Landed On Train Will Crash In Tunnel
Oh S**T

Dec 12, 2012  Elephant Flying With Help of Cluster Balloons
Elephants really can fly

Click here to see all recent weird and unusual photos
Click here to see page of all photoshopped photos











Don't read this if you are offended by photoshopping


How Mona Lisa Screwed All Wall Street



We accidently stumbled onto a near-miracle

        We accidently stumbled onto this  When 10 Run Weighted Moving Average 10wRMA crosses zero  VXX up and down price trends REVERSE   Predictions 100% right  When Wall Street learns how VIX Volatility code may have finally been cracked stand back  May be important and useful  especially for options and futures traders  and serious investors  Watch the WSJ for important announcement  about this breakthrough





 WORST EVER VXX CRASH






If you're comfortable
with a little calculus
 read this


Don't read this
if regression 
depresses you



Frog says, if you
    • Have a pulse
    • Can void
    • Can take liquids by mouth
    • Know Pancho Villa is not a housing development, and
    • Are not double parked in the twilight zone
you better know this


ALERT
Unnerving mathematical pattern
we're afraid
to make public




Quite by accident, we've found what looks like a pretty good way to predict VXX stock price trends — up, down, top and bottom — using a 10-Run Moving Average, 10RMA. A run is 1 or more consecutive days of VXX closing price the same direction as the previous day — up or down.

Smoothing and plotting runs data series since Jan 2011 with a 10-run moving average, 10RMAresults are uncanny.

We stumbled onto this trying to understand unusually high occurrence of 5-day runs compared to 4 and 6-day runs. 


SECRET  EMERGENCY  MEETING 

I was invited and attended a secret emergency meeting in New York.  





     Sound's crazy, but its not. We're learning that non-existent data is important, especially what causes it and what it causes — e.g., if your speedometer is broken, something caused it, and it causes . . .
     Classical correlations of data require that data exist, that data have values + (-) or zero. But when data does not exist, these correlations just don't work. 
     We're close to coming up with a pretty good way to correlate non-existent data (not an oxymoron). We're not aware of any other simple way to do this. 
    
 We expect to be able to predict, well ahead and with reasonable certainty, VXX long-term, price trends up, down, top and bottom, with our new non-existent data correlation
e.g., when will the current VXX crash end?
     Mathematicians will probably deem our work, "Intuitively obvious, not needing proof."
     Their solution — "We suggest computational intelligence using non-existent bipolar fuzzy set theory and paradigm shift." Wow . . .
     We say, "A better way for us non-mathematicians does not exist." 
  

Here's one example of VXX non-existent data we expected might exist. Please HELP us understand why it does not?

TABLE 9 from Runs, condensed5-Day runs UP, #2 to 5
  Jul 8(191) to Sep 6(150), 2011, 42 Days

Runs



Total
UP

# runs days (-) # runs days (+) Days
1 4 4 4 4 8
2 3 6        .  6
3
                     .   
4 1 4 1 4 8
5                4 20 20
6





8 14 9 28 42




While Volatility Research was researching a way to crack the VIX fear index volatility code,  quite by 
accident we discovered a n-Dimensional Spreadsheet, where n is any integer >= 3.

With time as one dimension, we can now take a time slice of the spreadsheet and see any number of variables over time, both graphically and numerically.

Our n-Dimensional Spreadsheet may have broader application and more potential than cracking the VIX fear index volatility code. 





Willie Moscoi

You probably don't know what the "Mosconi Effect" is, but you will. Willie Mosconi — the greatest pool player ever — His record run of 526 straight balls still stands.

In my youth, I had more pinball machine time than table time at our local pool hall because I could win more money doing that. Our local beer drinking, pool pro swore by 2 unverified stories:
  1. Willie Mosconi was nominated for the Nobel Mathematics Peace Prize but was blackballed by Minnesota Fats.
  2. He saw Willie shoot a 6-cushion-bank. Willie then bet and won that he could repeat the shot and end with the ball touching a matchbook placed at the exact spot the first shot stopped — a feat some physicists argue was physically and mathematically impossible.



    FROGS  VIEWS  OF THE  DAY 

    Frog is excited that the world is watching his Views of the Day — #1 of 500 Million Google® Search FROGS  VIEWS  OF DAY*
     

    Volatility Research Frog
    Our Frog is the only non-human to ever be nominated by a major newspaper for a Pulitzer Prize, "Non-Human Species Writings."

    His nomination was sand-bagged, however, by Big Bird because of "Cross species animosity and jealousy."

    We have received a request from another major newspaper to syndicate Frogs Views of the Day. Their request has been rejected by the Frog because his "Views are just too personal and controversial."

    We have also received a request from a major movie studio to make a movie of Frogs Views of the Day starring Frog himself. Frog is undecided about being a movie star. Says he "Just may prefer his pond with the Fat Lady."

    Thousands of people have visited our site just for Frogs Views of the Day

    Frog invites you to see and enjoy his earlier Frogs Views of the Day

    Frog's more recent Views of the Day are below. 




    I proposed to the Fat Lady because she has lots of places for me to hide. She rejected me because, "I'm too slimy."  Heck, I could just slip into a fold and she'd never know it. new Apr 16 

    Tragedy Skinny Dippin  Big Bird crashed my party. Goosed Fat Lady on diving board with foot-long beak. She screamed, fell into pond, humongous ripples (hers and ponds). Big Bird stole her clothes. Crash can't end because she won't get out of pond to sing unless I make her a dress of lily pads. Not enough in pond. She's not Eve. Crash ain't over 'till Fat Lady sings.  new Apr 18 

    We men want what we can't get 
    and when we get it we don't want it
    (Volatility Research Frog, 2012)
    new Apr 21 

    Frog Nominates Mother Goose for Gang of 7
         Frog nominated Mother Goose for Gang of 7 to control Big Bird's behavior. Big Bird blackballed her, "I'll be beaked if honk'n old Mother Goose's gonna tell me what to do. 
         That crazy goose is doubled parked in the twilight zone and belongs in an old gooses pond." new Apr 23 

    Big Bird disguised as Honey Bear
    Big Bird disguised as 
    Crazy Nastyass Honey Badger 

    Chimay in  Comments*  nominated the Crazy Nastyass Honey Badger for our Gang! This video, seen by 43 million viewers (really), was made by Big Bird to support Chimay's Crazy Nastyass Honey Badger's nomination. I'm concerned Big Bird may be a bisexual cross-dresser.   new Apr 27 

    Guy on Buffalo
    Guy on a Buffalo  Jeff nominated the Guy on a Buffalo in Comments*. I'll vote for him, and the Buffalo too, if he'll just ride the Fat Lady out of my cesspool pond of Fat Lady droppings. Check out this Guy on a Buffalo video Jeff submitted too — 
    3 million+ views!
    new Apr 27  
    frog sitting on the dock of the bay

    The Fat Lady wore me JUST PLAIN OUT.
    I had one helluva sheet-ripp'n  
    lily pad  wilt'n night :)
    See me trying to recover video
    new Apr 29 

    Mona Lisa with pimple on nose
    Hell doth know'th not, the fury of a beautiful woman, my wife, my Lord's crumpet, who doth get'th upon the pinnacle of her nose, a protruding, humongous pimple.  
    (Shakespeare's Frog, My brother from another mother, Volatility Research Frog 2012)
    new May 2

    Couch Potato the Wild Goose
    Couch Potato the Wild Goose  blackballed — spends too much time chasing Mother Goose, who says he got VD on a flight from home and won't use Viagra. Mating with Mother Goose Video1 Video2 (Notice how he throttles, squelches her squeals and honks of pleasure  —  How not to disturb neighbors getting lucky :) 
    new May 3

    Thug the Guard Dog blackballed — "He just don't care."


    Thug the Guard Dog blackballed — "He just don't care."  Video   Article
    new May 3








    The Black Bear saved the Fat Lady's just-born-in-my-pond baby from drowning. I just couldn't do it. He tried to lift the Fat Lady out too, but she screamed, splashed water in his face, bit his ear and tried to poke his eyes out — Very Rude.

    The Black Bear saved the Fat Lady's just-born-in-my-pond baby from drowning. I just couldn't do it. Black Bear tried to lift the Fat Lady out too, but she screamed, splashed water in his face, bit his ear and tried to poke his eyes out — Very Rude.  
    new May 6


    Big Bird then saved the Black Bear drowning in my pond. Big Bird is ticked, flips him a Double Bird  — Very Rude.  new May 6

    Big Bird then saved the Black Bear drowning in my pond. Big Bird is ticked, flips him a Double Bird — Very Rude.
    new May 6 


    Been at the hospital trying to calm Big Bird down, committed for exhaustion — Had to be straight-jacketed and was arrested for being, "too sexually cozy" with a scrub nurse. Had her winged under the covers and was beaking her big toe when I got there. Also goosed head nurse, passed gas in Doctor's face checking hemorrhoids, rolled bed like bowling ball down hall, took out nurse station, tackled security guard, stole and swallowed bottle of oxycodone from pharmacy, chewed his way out of straight jacket, commandeered elevator only for, "pretty nurses," he'll only talk to,"TV cameras and pretty nurses," vomited in intern's face checking throat, called him fake doctor, told him to go back to his tent in India, and take the ugly, fat nurses with him — Big Bird may have cracked. new May 11

    Since Big Bird saved Black Bear's life, Black Bear sneaked into the hospital and rescued Big Bird from the Cuckoos Nest. Security Guards thought it was a planned show for the patients — ignored. We may be in trouble this weekend — they're both looking for our party to crash. Big Bird thinks I was the one committing him and Black Bear thinks I was the one telling Big Bird not to rescue him. Geez, I'm scared they're out to get me too. Heck, I'll just go and hide in one of the Fat Lady's voluptuous folds.  new May 12

    congo bears 200w

    THE BLACK BEAR'S progeny cubs do the world's longest conga line, the love train. video
    new May 26  





    PERFUME THE BABY MONKEY itches his butt and takes a whiff. 
    Smells so bad he falls out of tree. new May 27  
     
    FIREWORKS FIDO goes ballisticnew May 27 

    oh long johnson cat talking

    TALKING CAT says, "Oh Long Johnson."
    Blackballed by Big Bird"Too loud Big Mouth and my dad was O. Long Johnson Bird." 
    new May 29 

    girls should stay home 100w

    Frog says, 

    "Girls — even the Fat Lady — should stay home."

    Video 44 million views   new May 31




    Frog says, "When you gotta go, 
    you gotta go."  new June 2




    Orville the dea cat turned in to helicopter

    Big Bird helped turn Orville the Dead Cat into a helicopter. Video  new June 5








    Geyser the Endless Peeing Dog

    Geyser the Endless Peeing Dog 
    has won every contest  Video 
    new June 15 




    Mother Goose viciously attacks innocent man with light saber new June 24

    Crazy Ass Mother Goose viciously attacks innocent man with light saber, blackballed by Big Bird because, "She wields a mean wand." 
    new June 24 

    Buxom Bandit blackballed by Big Bird, "She's just too top heavy."

    Buxie the Buxom Bandit 
    blackballed by Big Bird, "She's just too top heavy. "Video new July 4

    Buxie  bucks  the Lam  New July 11

    Bootzy the World's only Booty Shaking Bronco, blackballed for "flaunting privates in public."

    Bootzy the world's only Booty Shaking Bronco, blackballed for "flaunting privates in public." Video
    new July 13

     
    Maria Callas the Opera Singing Cat that cries like a baby too.
    Maria Callas the Opera Singing Cat 
    also cries like a baby. 
    Blackballed,"She cries too much,"
    Video 2 million views Obituary
    new July 16

    Pavarotti the Opera Singing Wolf Dog sings to stop baby crying
    Pavarotti the Opera Singing Wolf sings "Libiamo Ne' Lieti Calici, Brindisi (The Drinking Song) from Verdi's La Traviata" to stop baby crying  Video     
    Pavarotti Singing and again with Cynthia Lawrence new July 16
    Plácido Domingo the Opera Singing Dog also plays piano. Plácido Domingo the Opera Singing Dog sings "Libiamo ne 'lieti calici, Brindisi (The Drinking Song) from Verdi's La Traviata "and Also plays piano. Video  Plácido Domingo Singing 
    The Three Tenors Singing 
    The Three Tenors is a name Given to the Spanish singers  Plácido Domingo and José Carreras and the Italian singer  Luciano Pavarotti who sang in concert under this banner During the 1990s and  early 2000s.  new July 21

    Angry Mother Goose attacks nice man Video
    Angry Old Mother Goose attacks nice woman. Frog says, "Nothing worse than an angry goose except angry Old Mother Goose, she'd make sick fowl soup." Video new July 20

     
    Road Rage Bimbo Nancy fails Car and Driver Road Rage Rehab. Blackballed by Big Bird, "She's just too sweet and too soft spoken."

    Road Rage Bimbo Nancy fails Car and Driver Road Rage Rehab. Blackballed by Big Bird, "She's just too sweet and too soft spoken."  new July 24


    Worst Road Rage Revenge Ever 
    new Aug 2



    Hangover the Kitty gives advice
    new July 28





    Arthritic dog goes for a swim

    Arthritic dog goes for a swim
    new Aug 9
    Update new Sep 28



    Houdini the Fearful Cat escapes on surfboard. Video
    Houdini the Fearful Cat escapes on surfboard. Blackballed, cat's "Not cunning enough" and dog for 
    "Chasing a little pussy."  Video  
    new Aug 11 
    Cockpit crash video. Caution gruesome Video

    Cockpit Crash Video  Article
    Caution gruesome Video 
    new Aug 11


    Squatter the Homeless Dog rudely marks his territory. Video

    Squatter the Homeless Dog rudely marks his new territory. Blackballed, "He's just too rudely polite."  Video
    new Aug 14


    Cocky the World's  Largest Cock Rooster blackballed, "He's just too cocky."

    Cocky the World's  Largest Pet Cock Rooster blackballed, "He's just not cocky enough." 
    new Aug 15


    Listen to Pavarotti's Opera Singing White Haired Gibbon Ape singing a Verdi Chorus accompanied by rhythm of slamming door to audition for the Metropolitan Opera
    Listen to Pavarotti's Opera Singing White Haired Gibbon Ape singing a Verdi Chorus accompanied by rhythm of slamming door to audition for the Metropolitan Opera new Aug 23

    Butterfly in Brazil attacks Bully the World's Meanest Bulldog Puppy 
    and wins. Bully blackballed by Black Bear, "He's just too cross-species vicious."
    Video  new Sep 4

     Frog says, "Best ad ever." Volvo Trucks - The Ballerina Stunt

    Frog says, "Best ad ever. I can do that."  
    Volvo Trucks - The Ballerina Stunt
    new Sep 5



    Huge Fish Attacks Men In Boat Video
    new Sep 16





    Dog and Parrot Making Out, Both blackballed by Big Bird, "They just ain't right, petomy's a crime" Video 
    new Sep 16



    Porky Pig rescues Goofy the Goat drowning Video

    Porky the Olympic Swimming Hero Pig rescues Goofy the Drowning Goat Video
    new Sep 21




    Ditsy Dodo the Intellectually Challenged Blond blackballed, "She just don't care to think right." Video
    new Sep 22




    Might be Ditsy Dodo the Intellectually Challenged Blond's Sister blackballed too, "She just can't think right." Video
    new Sep 24



    SoftFoot the Soccer Playing Dog takes owner OUT with a nutshot  Video

    SoftFoot the Soccer Playing Dog takes owner OUT with a nut shot  Video
    new Sep 19


    Nutter the Nasty Goat gives nice man nutshot


    Nutter the Nasty Goat gives nice man a nut shot too Video
    new Sep 29


    Live suicide on TV Video

    Live suicide on FOX TV
    Video
    CAUTION THIS VIDEO CONTAINS GRAPHIC CONTENT YOU MAY FIND OFFENSIVE  FOX apology
    new Sep 30


    Lone Ranger gets DUI on Horseback, eludes police chase


    Lone Ranger gets DUI on Horseback, gallops away from police chase. Silver blackballed, "He's just too domitable."
    new Sep 30



    Opera Singing Chorus of Misifits, including One Ear the Cat, One Eye the Cat and Toothy the Chipmunk singing  "Libiamo Ne' Lieti Calici, Brindisi (The Drinking Song) from Verdi's La Traviata"  Pavarotti Singing and again with Cynthia Lawrence

    Opera Singing Chorus of Misfits
    including 

    - One Ear the Cat, 
    - One Eye the Cat, 
    - Hairy the Old Monkey and 
    - Toothless the Beaver 

    singing "Libiamo Ne' Lieti Calici, Brindisi (The Drinking Song) from Verdi's La Traviata" 

    Pavarotti Singing and again with Cynthia Lawrence 

    Plácido Domingo sings "Libiamo Ne' Lieti Calici, Brindisi (The Drinking Song) from Verdi's La Traviata"  Video 
    Plácido Domingo Singing


    The Three Tenors is a name given to the Spanish singers Plácido Domingo and José Carreras and the Italian singer Luciano Pavarotti who sang in concert under this banner during the 1990s and early 2000s.
    new Oct 2



    HOCKER the DRY MOUTHED LLAMA fires a big wet one on a nice lady. Blackballed by Big Bird, "He's just too polite."

    HOCKER the DRY MOUTHED LLAMA fires a big wet one on a nice lady. Blackballed by Big Bird"He's just too polite." Video   new July 15


    Bullseye the Hocker Shooting Llama lands a big wet one on a nice lady, blackballed, "He's just too aimless."

    Bullseye the Hocker Shooting Llama lands a big wet one on a nice lady, blackballed, "He's just too aimless."
    new Oct 3



    Llamas  really do spit
    new Oct 3







    Big Bird not only ticked off Obama, he ticked off Sweetie the Never Upset Horse so bad, Sweetie spit at him — and Big Bird got first-ever photo of a horse spitting for Guinness Book of World Records.

    Big Bird not only ticked off Obama, he ticked off Sweetie the Never Upset Horse so bad, Sweetie spit on his beak — and Big Bird got first-ever photo of a horse spitting for Guinness Book of World Records.
    new Oct 8

    Who says women cannot float above corn fields?


    Who says women can't float above
    corn fields?
    new Oct 11





    Ihate Bur Rokoli the 7-week old Pomeranian attacks broccoli and looses

    iHate Bur Rokoli the 7-week-old Pomeranian attacks broccoli and looses Video
    new Oct 11





    Hotsie the Bride forgot to wear panties
    new Oct 11






    Ballzie the Bald Eagle tries to make Bad Ass Old Mother Goose join Mile High Club. Blackballed because "birdomy is fowl crime."
    Ballzie the Bald Eagle tries to make Bad Ass Old Mother Goose join the Mile High Club. Blackballed by Big Bird because "Birdomy is fowl crime."
    Frog's wisdom, "Air bags and bagged in the air just ain't the same."
    new Oct 11 
    Big Bird gave the nasty witch bad directions, a faulty GPS, and too much booze at Romney's family reunion

    Big Bird gave the nasty old witch bad directions, a faulty GPS, and too much booze at Romney's family reunion
    new Oct 14 













    Tear jerker rescue of baby elephant stuck in hole video

    Tear jerker rescue of baby elephant stuck in hole video
    new Oct 19    


    Ice Dude fails to 'break the ice' jumping into into frozen pool 6 million views video

    Ice Dude fails to 'break the ice' jumping into frozen pool
    10 million views video
    new Oct 19 




    Top 5 Ice Pool Falls video

    Top 5 Ice Crashes video
    new Oct 22 

     



    lost good friend

    Sad, he lost a friend in a hay baler
    new Oct 22 




    Guy survives being hit by car 35+ mph video
    Guy survives being hit by car speeding 40+ mph, bounces off windshield, lands on feet  video

    Big Bird says, "I survived worse,
    I took lead to the head."
    new Oct 23   

    Sweetie the Never Upset Horse chases Coy the Coyote Then fires a big hocker to send him off like a rocket

    Sweetie the Never Upset Horse chases Coy the Coyote. Then fires a big hocker to send him off like a rocket. new Nov 1

      
    Big Bird Is ticked having to carry his horse. Flips the Bird.

    Big Bird is ticked having to carry his horse. Flips the Bird.  new Nov 1   






    After Burner the Flying Camel trying to land at LaGuardia
    new Nov 10







    Tiny the Giant Seagull attacks Boeing the Flying Camel Photoshopped by Volatility Research Frog Nov 14, 2012

    Tiny the Giant Seagull attacks Boeing the Flying Camel
    new Nov 15




    Mit the Flying Camel  trying to land at the White House but the flag and a few other things got in his way



    Mit the Flying Camel
    trying to land at the White House but the flag and a few other things got in his way

    new Nov 15
    Clueless the Lost Flying Camel trying to land on top of the Empire State Building

    Clueless the Lost Flying Camel trying to land on top of the
    Empire State Building
    new Nov 15



    Boeing the Flying Camel attacks Wingless the First-Ever Flying Elephant

    Boeing the Flying Camel attacks Wingless the 
    First-Ever Flying Elephant
    new Nov 15



    Mitt the Flying Camel trying to land on Mount Romney but can't get through the clouds

    Mitt the Flying Camel
    trying to land on Mount Romney but can't get through the clouds. His namesake had the same problem.
    new Nov 20
    Nicotine the Smoking Elephant Seal trying to blow smoke up  Sorebutt the Flying Camels butt  Photoshopped by Volatility Research Frog Nov 20, 2012 www.goo.gl/Hmnqi

    Nicotine the Smoking Elephant Seal trying to blow smoke up 
    Sorebutt the Flying Camel's butt
    new Nov 20


    Obama invited Big Bird to visit a stormy, leaky, dripping room

    Obama invited Big Bird to visit a stormy, leaky,
    dripping room
    new Nov 22



    Monet the One-Eyed Flying Camel aiming for a soft landing on Monet's Haystack at Giverny with his teenage mistress Camelia on his neck
    Monet the One-Eyed Flying Camel aiming for a soft landing on Monet's Haystack at Giverny with his teenage mistress Camelia on his neck for a 'roll in the hay'
    new Nov 24




    How to Ship a Giraffe by UPS

    How to Ship a Giraffe by UPS
    new Nov 25






    Horney the Flying Goat looking for some action with goats climbing trees

    Horney the Flying Goat looking for some action with goats climbing trees
    new Nov 25




    Nov 25, 2012  Vicious ROVEr the Mean Junkyard Dog  rescuing Romney who lost his way underground and a few other ways too
    Vicious ROVEr the Mean Junkyard Dog rescuing Romney who lost his way under-ground and a few other ways too
    new Nov 25





    Nov 26, 2012  Phelps the Flying Camel trying to get in the race  between Doozie the Dolphin and Moomoo Nawtika the Flying Cow



    Phelps the Flying Camel trying to get in the race between Doozie the Dolphin and Moomoo Nawtika the Flying Cow
    new Nov 26






    Big Bird using Tiny the Giant Cock Rooster to pull plow
    new Nov 26








     Flying Camels really can ride on light beams especially with mistress on their neck

    Flying Camels really can ride on light beams especially with their mistress on their neck
    new Nov 27





    The Black Bear saved the Fat Lady's just-born-in-my-pond baby from drowning. I just couldn't do it. He tried to lift the Fat Lady out too, but she screamed, splashed water in his face, bit his ear and tried to poke his eyes out — Very Rude.
















    How to House Train a Giraffe    Photoshopped by  Volatility Research Frog  Nov 27, 2012  www.goo.gl/Hmnqi

    How to House Train a Giraffe
    new Nov 27 







    Big Bad Wolf Howling at Mysterious Cloud in Room Giraffes Peeking In

    Big Bad Wolf Howling at Mysterious Cloud in Room Giraffes Peeking In
    new Nov 28




    Nov 29, 2012  Orville the Flying Goat does a Fly-By for the crowd with King Kong the Monkey passenger on his back

    Orville the Flying Goat 
    does a Fly-By for the crowd with 
    King Kong the Monkey 
    passenger on his back
    new Nov 28









    George Foreman the
    Fighting Flying Camel 
    attacks clouds that look like him
    new Nov 30





















    See more funny pictures
    down the yellow section




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    Our core principle — Hang out and research our dirty linen more than our clean Our sole purpose — Crack the VIX volatility code No ads, strings or gimmicks — This website is FREE Site designed by Google® Sites — Slight modifications and content (FITB) by us Our website got in Google® Search Top 10, but we don't know how We're all volatility + a bit of humor — Better market info & analysis other sites  All our Forecasts and Tips are published here — Tips are published in the WSJ  We will begin a new forecast here soon — May prove to be 100% accurate We non-mathematicians will find it 'useful' —  Others 'too simple, not esoteric' We try to forecast VXX Next-Day Close daily by 3:30 PM

    Fri, Dec 14, 2012 4:00 PM EST new Dec 14

    Our algorithms' predictions for VXX close Mon Dec 17 below. 

    Based solely on our Mosconi Effect M-path algorithm, we forecast that VXX will close DOWN Mon, Dec 18.

    qPath %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Dec 14 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    1.1 -105.25 105.24 35 26 -3.01 4.05 2.61 3.25
    112 -2.53 21.97 2 4 -1.27 5.49 0.30 5.40
    1123 -1.56 1.15 1 1 -1.56 1.15 0.00 0.00
    11232 0.00 0.00 0 0
    M-path %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Dec 14 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    2 days -167.54 205.77 54 43 -3.10 4.79 2.40 4.61
    3 days -74.83 105.01 21 22 -3.56 4.77 2.79 3.49
    4 days -22.00 42.01 9 12 -2.44 3.50 1.22 2.43
    5 days -10.55 11.09 5 4 -2.11 2.77 0.99 1.90
    6 days -6.63 5.14 3 1 -2.21 5.14 0.89 0.00

    quads 1,2,3,4
      

    Live Market Watch


    There are hidden secrets 
    we can't find in this table
    to answer why so many 5-day Runs

    Jan 3, 2011 to Aug 31, 2012, 421 days



    Run


    Run
    Runs# (-)Days%VXX%VXX # (+)Days
    14242-132.92183.88 4949
    21530-104.71173.502754
    31442-116.2296.09824
    4936-110.3037.76312
    51050-150.90150.11630
    6212-28.9952.88212
    7428-56.88









    Total96240-700.92694.2195181

    We are unable to explain 
    why this unusually high occurrence of 
    5-day positive runs 
    compared to 4 and 6-day runs. 
    Can you?


    Thu, Dec 13, 2012 4:00 PM EST new Dec 13

    Our algorithms' predictions for VXX close Fri Dec 14 below

    qPath %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Dec 13 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    1.3 -84.62 120.87 33 39 -2.56 3.10 1.92 2.93
    132 -3.26 27.19 2 7 -1.63 3.88 0.77 2.61
    1232 0.00 0.00 0 0
    12323 0.00 0.00 0 0
    M-path %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Dec 13 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    2 days -167.54 205.77 54 43 -3.10 4.79 2.40 4.61
    3 days -92.72 100.76 33 21 -2.81 4.80 2.06 5.55
    4 days -49.17 46.98 16 9 -3.07 5.22 1.63 5.97
    5 days -33.24 30.14 9 4 -3.69 7.54 1.70 7.71
    6 days -7.94 20.70 2 1 -3.97 20.70 0.87 0.00

    quads 1,2,3,4

    Wed, Dec 12, 2012 4:00 PM EST new Dec 12

    Our algorithms' predictions for VXX close Thu Dec 13 below

    qPath %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Dec 12 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    2.3 -32.10 13.26 11 6 -2.92 2.21 1.43 1.46
    232 -4.29 0.00 2 0 -2.15 1.17
    2323 -4.29 0.00 2 0 -2.15 1.17
    23232 0.00 0.00 0 0
    M-path %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Dec 12 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    2 days -174.61 157.66 59 54 -2.96 2.92 2.16 2.84
    3 days -71.93 95.38 22 25 -3.27 3.82 1.65 2.75
    4 days -45.37 42.41 12 13 -3.78 3.26 1.79 2.75
    5 days -22.51 4.91 6 3 -3.75 1.64 1.54 0.32
    6 days -3.27 2.01 1 1 -3.27 2.01 0.00 0.00

    quads 1,2,3,4

    Tue, Dec 11, 2012 4:00 PM EST new Dec 11

    Our algorithms' predictions for VXX close Wed Dec 12 below

    qPath %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Dec 11 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    3.2 -25.28 39.02 12 11 -2.11 3.55 1.62 2.45
    323 -1.55 12.08 2 5 -0.77 2.42 0.09 1.45
    3232 0.00 0.00 0 0
    32323 0.00 0.00 0 0
    M-path %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Dec 11 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    2 days -214.75 149.40 65 47 -3.30 3.18 2.57 2.75
    3 days -105.33 84.00 33 25 -3.19 3.36 2.85 2.60
    4 days -36.83 16.21 12 9 -3.07 1.80 1.98 1.33
    5 days -27.76 2.92 9 2 -3.08 1.46 1.88 0.68
    6 days -13.72 2.14 4 1 -3.43 2.14 2.40 0.00

    quads 1,2,3,4


    Mon, Dec 10, 2012 4:00 PM EST new Dec 10

    Our algorithms' predictions for VXX close Tue Dec 11 below:

    qPath %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Dec 10 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    2.3 -26.66 14.42 10 7 -2.67 2.06 1.52 1.40
    232 -0.98 0.00 1 0 -0.98 0.00
    2323 -0.98 0.00 1 0 -0.98 0.00
    23231 -0.98 0.00 1 0 -0.98 0.00
    M-path %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Dec 10 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    2 days -167.60 157.66 57 54 -2.94 2.92 2.19 2.84
    3 days -64.91 95.38 20 25 -3.25 3.82 1.73 2.75
    4 days -42.06 42.41 11 13 -3.82 3.26 1.87 2.75
    5 days -19.20 4.91 5 3 -3.84 1.64 1.67 0.32
    6 days -15.93 2.90 4 2 -3.98 1.45 1.84 0.21

    quads 1,2,3,4


    Wed, Dec 5, 2012 4:00 PM EST new Dec 5

    Our algorithms' predictions for VXX close Thu Dec 6 below:

    qPath%VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Dec 5(-)(+)(-)(+)(-)(+)(-)(+)
    3.1-134.8185.183825-3.553.412.882.94
    311-52.8129.69139-4.063.302.473.40
    31120.000.0000
    311230.000.0000
    M-path%VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Dec 5(-)(+)(-)(+)(-)(+)(-)(+)
    2 days-214.75146.826545-3.303.262.572.78
    3 days-109.4264.243221-3.423.062.232.94
    4 days-55.8025.03137-4.293.582.543.74
    5 days-30.401.2471-4.341.242.520.00
    6 days-15.020.0030-5.012.75

    quads 1,2,3,4

    Thu, Dec 6, 2012 4:00 PM EST new Dec 6

    Our algorithms' predictions for VXX close Fri Dec 7 below:

    qPath %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Dec 6 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    2.3 -25.09 13.26 9 6 -2.79 2.21 1.55 1.46
    231 -10.68 0.00 3 0 -3.56 1.65
    2311 -1.70 0.00 1 0 -1.70 0.00
    23112 0.00 0.00 0 0
    M-path %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Dec 6 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    2 days -167.60 157.66 57 54 -2.94 2.92 2.19 2.84
    3 days -64.91 95.38 20 25 -3.25 3.82 1.73 2.75
    4 days -22.86 52.97 9 12 -2.54 4.41 1.21 2.63
    5 days -10.39 20.45 3 4 -3.46 5.11 1.29 2.88
    6 days 0.00 3.56 0 1 3.56 0.00

    quads 1,2,3,4

    Wed, Dec 5, 2012 4:00 PM EST new Dec 5

    Our algorithms' predictions for VXX close Thu Dec 6 below:

    qPath %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Dec 5 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    3.1 -134.81 85.18 38 25 -3.55 3.41 2.88 2.94
    311 -52.81 29.69 13 9 -4.06 3.30 2.47 3.40
    3112 0.00 0.00 0 0
    31123 0.00 0.00 0 0
    M-path %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Dec 5 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    2 days -214.75 146.82 65 45 -3.30 3.26 2.57 2.78
    3 days -109.42 64.24 32 21 -3.42 3.06 2.23 2.94
    4 days -55.80 25.03 13 7 -4.29 3.58 2.54 3.74
    5 days -30.40 1.24 7 1 -4.34 1.24 2.52 0.00
    6 days -15.02 0.00 3 0 -5.01 2.75

    quads 1,2,3,4


    Tue, Dec 4, 2012 4:00 PM EST new Dec 4

    Our algorithms' predictions for VXX close Wed Dec 5 below:

    qPath %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Dec 4 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    1.1 -103.68 105.24 34 26 -3.05 4.05 2.64 3.25
    112 -0.97 21.97 1 4 -0.97 5.49 0.00 5.40
    1123 0.00 1.15 0 1 1.15 0.00
    11233 0.00 1.15 0 1 1.15 0.00
    M-path %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Dec 4 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    2 days -165.98 204.05 53 42 -3.13 4.86 2.41 4.64
    3 days -73.26 105.01 20 22 -3.66 4.77 2.82 3.49
    4 days -20.44 42.01 8 12 -2.56 3.50 1.25 2.43
    5 days -9.89 30.92 3 8 -3.30 3.87 1.30 2.59
    6 days -8.42 12.60 2 4 -4.21 3.15 0.14 1.86

    quads 1,2,3,4

    Mon, Dec 3, 2012 4:00 PM EST new Dec 3

    Our algorithms' predictions for VXX close Tue Dec 4 below:

    qPath %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Dec 3 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    1.2 -23.07 21.63 5 5 -4.61 4.33 2.42 1.16
    123 -7.01 2.05 1 1 -7.01 2.05 0.00 0.00
    1233 -7.01 2.05 1 1 -7.01 2.05 0.00 0.00
    12331 -7.01 0.00 1 0 -7.01 0.00
    M-path %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Dec 3 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    2 days -165.98 204.05 53 42 -3.13 4.86 2.41 4.64
    3 days -92.72 99.04 33 20 -2.81 4.95 2.06 5.64
    4 days -43.55 52.06 17 11 -2.56 4.73 2.37 5.35
    5 days -10.51 32.73 3 6 -3.50 5.45 2.75 7.04
    6 days -10.51 9.86 3 2 -3.50 4.93 2.75 3.57

    quads 1,2,3,4

    Fri, Nov 30, 2012 4:00 PM EST new Nov 30

    Our algorithms' predictions for VXX close Mon Dec 3 below:

    qPath %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Nov 30 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    2.3 -25.09 11.37 9 5 -2.79 2.27 1.55 1.60
    233 -11.25 10.45 4 4 -2.81 2.61 1.42 1.62
    2331 0.00 4.80 0 2 2.40 2.25
    23314 0.00 4.65 0 1 4.65 0.00
    M-path %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Nov 30 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    2 days -167.60 155.77 57 53 -2.94 2.94 2.19 2.86
    3 days -102.68 60.40 37 28 -2.78 2.16 2.39 2.73
    4 days -35.76 15.04 12 9 -2.98 1.67 2.17 1.43
    5 days -14.53 7.42 5 5 -2.91 1.48 1.93 1.63
    6 days -14.53 6.10 5 4 -2.91 1.53 1.93 1.81

    quads 1,2,3,4

    Thu, Nov 29, 2012 4:00 PM EST new Nov 29


    Our algorithms' predictions for VXX close Fri Nov 30 below:

    qPath %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Nov 29 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    3.3 -172.51 142.21 61 41 -2.83 3.47 2.14 3.62
    331 -89.06 42.81 24 8 -3.71 5.35 2.76 5.82
    3314 -5.30 12.76 3 2 -1.77 6.38 0.52 3.45
    33143 0.00 2.94 0 1 2.94 0.00
    M-path %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Nov 29 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    2 days -301.80 228.33 100 65 -3.02 3.51 2.21 3.53
    3 days -150.46 82.55 43 21 -3.50 3.93 2.37 4.25
    4 days -71.35 48.58 22 10 -3.24 4.86 2.36 5.42
    5 days -30.80 41.66 11 9 -2.80 4.63 2.56 5.67
    6 days -2.81 23.83 3 4 -0.94 5.96 0.29 7.47

    quads 1,2,3,4

    Wed, Nov 28, 2012 4:00 PM EST new Nov 28

    Our algorithms' predictions for VXX close Thu Nov 29 below:

    qPath %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Nov 28 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    3.1 -133.66 85.18 37 25 -3.61 3.41 2.89 2.94
    314 -16.12 19.35 6 3 -2.69 6.45 3.21 2.17
    3143 -0.37 15.96 1 2 -0.37 7.98 0.00 0.14
    31432 0.00 0.00 0 0
    M-path %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Nov 28 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    2 days -213.60 146.82 64 45 -3.34 3.26 2.57 2.78
    3 days -104.18 82.58 32 24 -3.26 3.44 2.87 2.62
    4 days -67.35 67.79 20 16 -3.37 4.24 3.29 2.72
    5 days -37.43 15.47 7 4 -5.35 3.87 3.61 2.35
    6 days -5.41 5.61 2 2 -2.70 2.80 1.56 2.09

    quads 1,2,3,4

    Tue, Nov 27, 2012 4:00 PM EST new Nov 27

    Our algorithms' predictions for VXX close Wed Nov 28 below:

    qPath %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Nov 27 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    1.4 -43.80 21.32 11 8 -3.98 2.67 2.73 3.20
    143 -11.75 4.23 3 2 -3.92 2.11 4.48 2.03
    1432 0.00 0.00 0 0
    14323 0.00 0.00 0 0
    M-path %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Nov 27 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    2 days -164.57 155.77 56 53 -2.94 2.94 2.21 2.86
    3 days -99.65 60.40 36 28 -2.77 2.16 2.42 2.73
    4 days -32.73 15.04 11 9 -2.98 1.67 2.27 1.43
    5 days -11.50 7.42 4 5 -2.88 1.48 2.16 1.63
    6 days -11.50 6.10 4 4 -2.88 1.53 2.16 1.81

    quads 1,2,3,4

    Mon, Nov 26, 2012 4:00 PM EST new Nov 26

    Our algorithms' predictions for VXX close Tue Nov 27 below:

    qPath %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Nov 26 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    4.3 -59.81 27.02 18 7 -3.32 3.86 1.93 3.70
    432 -1.75 0.00 1 0 -1.75 0.00
    4323 0.00 0.00 0 0
    43233 0.00 0.00 0 0
    M-path %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Nov 26 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    2 days -301.80 226.24 100 64 -3.02 3.54 2.21 3.55
    3 days -150.46 80.47 43 20 -3.50 4.02 2.37 4.34
    4 days -71.35 46.50 22 9 -3.24 5.17 2.36 5.63
    5 days -30.80 39.58 11 8 -2.80 4.95 2.56 5.94
    6 days -27.98 15.75 8 4 -3.50 3.94 2.68 3.57

    quads 1,2,3,4



    Fri, Nov 23, 2012 4:00 PM EST new Nov 23

    Our algorithms' predictions for VXX close Mon Nov 26 below:

    qPath %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Nov 23 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    3.2 -24.41 37.59 11 10 -2.22 3.76 1.64 2.48
    323 -0.68 10.65 1 4 -0.68 2.66 0.00 1.52
    3233 -0.68 2.71 1 1 -0.68 2.71 0.00 0.00
    32333 0.00 0.00 0 0
    M-path %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Nov 23 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    2 days -212.73 146.82 63 45 -3.38 3.26 2.57 2.78
    3 days -103.31 82.58 31 24 -3.33 3.44 2.88 2.62
    4 days -66.49 67.79 19 16 -3.50 4.24 3.32 2.72
    5 days -29.06 52.32 12 12 -2.42 4.36 2.59 2.83
    6 days -8.05 13.99 3 3 -2.68 4.66 1.21 2.63


    Wed, Nov 21, 2012 4:00 PM EST new Nov 21

    Our algorithms' predictions for VXX close Fri Nov 23 below:

    qPath %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Nov 23 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    2.3 -172.51 141.60 61 40 -2.83 3.54 2.14 3.64
    233 -57.97 50.56 25 17 -2.32 2.97 1.39 2.88
    2333 -30.42 19.88 15 5 -2.03 3.98 1.46 3.40
    23331 -11.82 3.43 6 2 -1.97 1.71 1.22 0.01
    M-path %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Nov 23 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    2 days -301.80 225.63 100 63 -3.02 3.58 2.21 3.56
    3 days -95.38 60.40 35 28 -2.73 2.16 2.44 2.73
    4 days -62.65 45.36 24 19 -2.61 2.39 2.51 3.13
    5 days -16.71 26.31 6 8 -2.78 3.29 2.44 4.44
    6 days -8.49 8.36 3 5 -2.83 1.67 3.09 1.32

    quads 1,2,3,4

    Tue, Nov 20, 2012 4:00 PM EST new Nov 20

    Our algorithms' predictions for VXX close Wed Nov 21 below:

    qPath %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Nov 20 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    3.3 -170.77 141.60 60 40 -2.85 3.54 2.15 3.64
    333 -57.97 50.56 25 17 -2.32 2.97 1.39 2.88
    3331 -30.42 19.88 15 5 -2.03 3.98 1.46 3.40
    33311 -11.82 3.43 6 2 -1.97 1.71 1.22 0.01
    M-path %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Nov 20 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    2 days -300.06 225.63 99 63 -3.03 3.58 2.22 3.56
    3 days -150.90 145.17 56 43 -2.69 3.38 2.01 3.12
    4 days -65.45 45.93 28 14 -2.34 3.28 2.10 3.00
    5 days -30.88 17.33 12 8 -2.57 2.17 2.56 2.08
    6 days -12.87 5.93 7 5 -1.84 1.19 0.60 0.46

    quads 1,2,3,4

    Mon, Nov 19, 2012 4:00 PM EST new Nov 19

    Our algorithms' predictions for VXX close Tue Nov 20 below:

    qPath %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Nov 19 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    3.3 -170.77 141.60 60 40 -2.85 3.54 2.15 3.64
    331 -87.33 42.81 23 8 -3.80 5.35 2.79 5.82
    3311 -39.46 7.66 8 3 -4.93 2.55 2.81 2.02
    33111 -23.34 5.18 4 1 -5.83 5.18 1.70 0.00
    M-path %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Nov 19 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    2 days -300.06 225.63 99 63 -3.03 3.58 2.22 3.56
    3 days -148.73 80.47 42 20 -3.54 4.02 2.38 4.34
    4 days -77.37 33.97 20 11 -3.87 3.09 2.36 2.51
    5 days -37.93 20.66 8 4 -4.74 5.16 1.77 1.92
    6 days -27.63 6.49 5 1 -5.53 6.49 1.76 0.00


    Fri, Nov 16, 2012 4:00 PM EST new Nov 16

    Important, this  'Head Ache' chart says a lot, 
    %VXX vs %S&P 500 Nov 1-16, 2012

    Our important but 'Head Ache" chart says a lot,  &VXX v%S&P 500 Nov 1-16, 2012


    Our algorithms' predictions for VXX close Mon Nov 19 below:

    qPath %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Nov 16 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    3.1 -124.91 85.18 36 25 -3.47 3.41 2.79 2.94
    311 -44.06 29.69 12 9 -3.67 3.30 2.16 3.40
    3111 -21.16 18.94 5 4 -4.23 4.74 2.17 4.57
    31113 -9.34 1.24 3 1 -3.11 1.24 0.75 0.00
    M-path %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Nov 16 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    2 days -203.98 146.82 62 45 -3.29 3.26 2.50 2.78
    3 days -100.67 64.24 31 21 -3.25 3.06 2.05 2.94
    4 days -47.05 25.03 12 7 -3.92 3.58 2.28 3.74
    5 days -21.65 1.24 6 1 -3.61 1.24 1.91 0.00
    6 days -6.27 0.00 2 0 -3.13 0.92



    Thu, Nov 15, 2012 4:00 PM EST new Nov 15

    Our algorithms' predictions for VXX close Fri Nov 16 below:

    qPath%VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Nov 15(-)(+)(-)(+)(-)(+)(-)(+)
    1.1-99.33104.383325-3.014.182.673.25
    111-42.7934.35118-3.894.293.292.43
    1113-11.7712.3654-2.353.091.042.29
    11133-1.478.6412-1.474.320.002.00
    M-path%VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Nov 15(-)(+)(-)(+)(-)(+)(-)(+)
    2 days-161.63203.195241-3.114.962.434.66
    3 days-68.91105.011922-3.634.772.893.49
    4 days-16.0942.01712-2.303.501.132.43
    5 days-5.5430.9228-2.773.871.302.59
    6 days-4.0712.6014-4.073.150.001.86

    quads 1,2,3,4

    Tue, Nov 13, 2012 11:00 PM EST new Nov 13

    Our algorithms' predictions for VXX close Wed Nov 14 below:

    qPath %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Nov 13 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    1.3 -84.62 117.63 33 38 -2.56 3.10 1.92 2.97
    133 -46.15 31.27 20 12 -2.31 2.61 1.96 3.74
    1331 -9.76 0.70 4 1 -2.44 0.70 2.21 0.00
    13311 -2.39 0.00 2 0 -1.20 0.20
    M-path %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Nov 13 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    2 days -160.29 152.53 55 52 -2.91 2.93 2.23 2.89
    3 days -95.38 57.16 35 27 -2.73 2.12 2.44 2.77
    4 days -32.73 11.80 11 8 -2.98 1.48 2.27 1.40
    5 days -21.23 4.38 7 3 -3.03 1.46 2.32 0.92
    6 days -16.53 3.92 4 2 -4.13 1.96 2.57 0.72



    Mon, Nov 12 2012 11:00 PM EST new Nov 12

    Based on our Mosconi Effect M-path and qPath algorithms predictions below, we forecast VXX will close DOWN tomorrow Tue Nov 13.


    Mon, Nov 12, 2012 4:00 PM EST new Nov 12

    Our algorithms' predictions for VXX close Tue Nov 13 below:

    qPath %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Nov 12 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    3.3 -170.77 141.34 60 39 -2.85 3.62 2.15 3.65
    331 -87.33 42.55 23 7 -3.80 6.08 2.79 5.87
    3311 -39.46 7.40 8 2 -4.93 3.70 2.81 1.48
    33113 -1.94 2.22 2 1 -0.97 2.22 0.78 0.00
    M-path %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Nov 12 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    2 days -300.06 225.38 99 62 -3.03 3.64 2.22 3.57
    3 days -148.73 80.21 42 19 -3.54 4.22 2.38 4.36
    4 days -77.37 33.71 20 10 -3.87 3.37 2.36 2.46
    5 days -39.44 13.05 12 6 -3.29 2.18 2.53 2.01
    6 days -18.95 8.32 6 2 -3.16 4.16 2.74 2.23




    Thu, Nov 8, 2012 4:00 PM EST new Nov 8

    qPath %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Nov 8 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    1.1 -99.28 104.38 32 25 -3.10 4.18 2.66 3.25
    113 -36.68 47.07 15 12 -2.45 3.92 1.69 2.62
    1132 -2.09 6.77 1 2 -2.09 3.38 0.00 0.88
    11321 -2.09 2.50 1 1 -2.09 2.50 0.00 0.00
    M-path %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Nov 8 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    2 days -161.58 203.19 51 41 -3.17 4.96 2.41 4.66
    3 days -92.66 98.18 32 19 -2.90 5.17 2.03 5.71
    4 days -49.11 46.98 15 9 -3.27 5.22 1.47 5.97
    5 days -15.87 16.84 6 5 -2.65 3.37 0.67 2.96
    6 days -8.92 15.75 4 3 -2.23 5.25 0.28 2.39

    quads 1,2,3,4


    Wed, Nov 7, 2012 11:00 AM EST new Nov 7

    Our algorithms' predictions for VXX close Thu Nov 8 below, assuming VXX closes UP today in quad 1:

    qPath %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Nov 7 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    1.3 -84.62 116.98 33 37 -2.56 3.16 1.92 2.98
    132 -3.26 26.55 2 6 -1.63 4.42 0.77 2.43
    1321 0.00 16.19 0 3 5.40 2.28
    13213 0.00 16.19 0 3 5.40 2.28
    M-path %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Nov 7 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    2 days -160.29 151.88 55 51 -2.91 2.98 2.23 2.90
    3 days -64.91 94.73 20 24 -3.25 3.95 1.73 2.73
    4 days -22.86 52.32 9 11 -2.54 4.76 1.21 2.47
    5 days -12.47 31.87 6 7 -2.08 4.55 0.85 2.18
    6 days -5.51 20.26 2 4 -2.75 5.07 0.40 0.49

    quads 1,2,3,4


    Tue, Nov 6, 2012 4:00 PM EST new Nov 6

    Our algorithms' predictions for VXX close Wed Nov 7 below:

    qPath %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Nov 6 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    3.2 -24.41 29.87 11 9 -2.22 3.32 1.64 2.21
    321 -20.93 12.20 8 3 -2.62 4.07 1.76 3.17
    3213 -11.46 12.20 4 3 -2.86 4.07 2.44 3.17
    32132 -4.44 0.00 1 0 -4.44 0.00
    M-path %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Nov 6 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    2 days -197.55 139.09 61 44 -3.24 3.16 2.49 2.73
    3 days -94.24 56.51 30 20 -3.14 2.83 1.99 2.82
    4 days -47.19 31.49 18 13 -2.62 2.42 1.58 2.05
    5 days -21.61 15.41 8 6 -2.70 2.57 2.06 2.65
    6 days -15.95 11.42 5 3 -3.19 3.81 2.02 3.31

    quads 1,2,3,4


    Mon, Nov 5, 2012 4:00 PM EST new Nov 5

    Our algorithms' predictions for VXX close Tue Nov 6 below:

    qPath %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Nov 5 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    2.1 -33.38 49.46 11 6 -3.03 8.24 1.43 8.58
    213 -22.25 21.86 7 2 -3.18 10.93 1.39 9.77
    2132 -1.94 20.70 1 1 -1.94 20.70 0.00 0.00
    21324 0.00 0.00 0 0
    M-path %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Nov 5 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    2 days -157.98 203.19 50 41 -3.16 4.96 2.44 4.66
    3 days -89.07 98.18 31 19 -2.87 5.17 2.06 5.71
    4 days -45.52 46.98 14 9 -3.25 5.22 1.52 5.97
    5 days -29.64 30.14 8 4 -3.71 7.54 1.80 7.71
    6 days -21.71 9.44 6 3 -3.62 3.15 2.01 1.52

    quads 1,2,3,4


    Fri, Nov 2, 2012 4:00 PM EDST new Nov 2

    Our algorithms' predictions for VXX close Mon Nov 5 below:

    qPath %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Nov 2 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    1.3 -84.62 115.15 33 36 -2.56 3.20 1.92 3.01
    132 -3.26 24.71 2 5 -1.63 4.94 0.77 2.34
    1324 0.00 0.00 0 0
    13243 0.00 0.00 0 0
    M-path %VXX
    Days

    Avg
    StDevP
    Nov 2 (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+)
    2 days -160.29 150.05 55 50 -2.91 3.00 2.23 2.92
    3 days -64.91 92.90 20 23 -3.25 4.04 1.73 2.76
    4 days -42.06 40.58 11 12 -3.82 3.38 1.87 2.83
    5 days -22.86 35.67 6 9 -3.81 3.96 2.02 3.05
    6 days -5.72 11.15 1 2 -5.72 5.57 0.00 0.93

    quads 1,2,3,4






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