Wed, Sep 26, 2012 4:00 PM EDST new Sep 26
First time ever SEVEN consecutive VXX closes in dreaded quads 2,4 causing qPath algorithm predictions for Thu Aug 27 to be almost non-existent again However, our Mosconi Effect algorithm predicts VXX will close DOWN Thu.
| qPath | %VXX |
| Days |
|
| Avg |
| StDevP | | Sep 26 | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | | 1.1 | -86.33 | 103.51 | 29 | 24 | -2.98 | 4.31 | 2.54 | 3.25 | | 114 | -8.74 | 1.00 | 3 | 1 | -2.91 | 1.00 | 1.50 | 0.00 | | 1144 | -2.72 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | -2.72 | — | 0.00 | — | | 11444 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | | M-path | %VXX |
| Days |
|
| Avg |
| StDevP | | Sep 26 | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | | 2 days | -142.83 | 202.32 | 46 | 40 | -3.10 | 5.06 | 2.37 | 4.67 | | 3 days | -73.91 | 99.12 | 27 | 19 | -2.74 | 5.22 | 1.82 | 5.68 | | 4 days | -33.45 | 52.14 | 15 | 10 | -2.23 | 5.21 | 1.83 | 5.40 | | 5 days | -22.94 | 21.14 | 12 | 6 | -1.91 | 3.52 | 1.33 | 1.55 | | 6 days | -13.11 | 8.32 | 5 | 3 | -2.62 | 2.77 | 1.59 | 1.01 |
Fri, Sep 28, 2012 3:20 PM EDST new Sep 28
Our algorithms' predictions for VXX close Mon Oct 1:
| qPath | %VXX |
| Days |
|
| Avg |
| StDevP | | Sep 28 | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | | 1.3 | -81.26 | 111.05 | 32 | 33 | -2.54 | 3.37 | 1.95 | 3.08 | | 131 | -26.10 | 53.59 | 7 | 13 | -3.73 | 4.12 | 1.84 | 2.31 | | 1311 | -6.40 | 27.94 | 2 | 5 | -3.20 | 5.59 | 0.75 | 2.06 | | 13114 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | | M-path | %VXX |
| Days |
|
| Avg |
| StDevP | | Sep 28 | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | | 2 days | -147.59 | 142.68 | 52 | 47 | -2.84 | 3.04 | 2.16 | 2.99 | | 3 days | -64.91 | 91.47 | 20 | 21 | -3.25 | 4.36 | 1.73 | 2.68 | | 4 days | -22.86 | 51.54 | 9 | 10 | -2.54 | 5.15 | 1.21 | 2.23 | | 5 days | -12.47 | 31.09 | 6 | 6 | -2.08 | 5.18 | 0.85 | 1.67 | | 6 days | -6.96 | 10.83 | 4 | 2 | -1.74 | 5.41 | 0.82 | 2.79 |
Thu, Sep 27, 2012 3:40 P M EDST new Sep 27
Our algorithms' predictions for VXX close Fri Sep 28:
| qPath | %VXX |
| Days |
|
| Avg |
| StDevP | | Sep 27 | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | | 3.1 | -115.67 | 73.89 | 33 | 23 | -3.51 | 3.21 | 2.82 | 2.92 | | 311 | -37.27 | 26.24 | 10 | 8 | -3.73 | 3.28 | 1.93 | 3.60 | | 3114 | -5.07 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | -2.53 | — | 0.53 | — | | 31144 | -3.06 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | -3.06 | — | 0.00 | — | | M-path | %VXX |
| Days |
|
| Avg |
| StDevP | | Sep 27 | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | | 2 days | -193.22 | 124.98 | 57 | 41 | -3.39 | 3.05 | 2.49 | 2.73 | | 3 days | -92.36 | 53.07 | 27 | 19 | -3.42 | 2.79 | 1.90 | 2.89 | | 4 days | -45.31 | 28.04 | 15 | 12 | -3.02 | 2.34 | 1.39 | 2.12 | | 5 days | -24.06 | 12.64 | 9 | 6 | -2.67 | 2.11 | 1.02 | 1.34 | | 6 days | -21.40 | 8.85 | 8 | 4 | -2.67 | 2.21 | 1.08 | 1.29 |
Wed, Sep 26, 2012 4:00 PM EDST new Sep 26
First time ever SEVEN consecutive VXX closes in dreaded quads 2,4 causing qPath algorithm predictions for Thu Aug 27 to be almost non-existent again However, our Mosconi Effect algorithm predicts VXX will close DOWN Thu.
| qPath | %VXX |
| Days |
|
| Avg |
| StDevP | | Sep 26 | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | | 1.1 | -86.33 | 103.51 | 29 | 24 | -2.98 | 4.31 | 2.54 | 3.25 | | 114 | -8.74 | 1.00 | 3 | 1 | -2.91 | 1.00 | 1.50 | 0.00 | | 1144 | -2.72 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | -2.72 | — | 0.00 | — | | 11444 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | | M-path | %VXX |
| Days |
|
| Avg |
| StDevP | | Sep 26 | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | | 2 days | -142.83 | 202.32 | 46 | 40 | -3.10 | 5.06 | 2.37 | 4.67 | | 3 days | -73.91 | 99.12 | 27 | 19 | -2.74 | 5.22 | 1.82 | 5.68 | | 4 days | -33.45 | 52.14 | 15 | 10 | -2.23 | 5.21 | 1.83 | 5.40 | | 5 days | -22.94 | 21.14 | 12 | 6 | -1.91 | 3.52 | 1.33 | 1.55 | | 6 days | -13.11 | 8.32 | 5 | 3 | -2.62 | 2.77 | 1.59 | 1.01 |
Tue, Sep 25, 2012 3:00 PM EDST new Sep 25
Darn quads 2,4 hangover won't flush out until late next week. First time ever SEVEN consecutive VXX closes in dreaded quads 2,4 causing qPath algorithm predictions for Wed Sep 26 to be almost non-existent again However, our Mosconi Effect algorithm predicts VXX will close DOWN Wed, assuming VXX closes UP today in quad one.
| qPath | %VXX |
| Days |
|
| Avg |
| StDevP | | Sep 25 | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | | 1.4 | -42.60 | 14.59 | 10 | 7 | -4.26 | 2.08 | 2.71 | 3.38 | | 144 | -10.18 | 0.46 | 2 | 2 | -5.09 | 0.23 | 1.85 | 0.23 | | 1444 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | | 14442 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | | M-path | %VXX |
| Days |
|
| Avg |
| StDevP | | Sep 25 | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | | 2 days | -147.59 | 139.22 | 52 | 46 | -2.84 | 3.03 | 2.16 | 3.02 | | 3 days | -82.68 | 47.75 | 32 | 25 | -2.58 | 1.91 | 2.35 | 2.84 | | 4 days | -61.45 | 38.62 | 23 | 18 | -2.67 | 2.15 | 2.55 | 3.19 | | 5 days | -16.71 | 23.72 | 6 | 8 | -2.78 | 2.96 | 2.44 | 4.51 | | 6 days | -8.21 | 14.49 | 3 | 2 | -2.74 | 7.24 | 1.54 | 7.24 |
Mon, Sep 24, 2012 4:00 P M EDST new Sep 24
Oh my. First time ever that we've had SEVEN consecutive VXX closes in dreaded quads 2,4 causing qPath algorithm predictions for Tue Aug 25 to be almost non-existent. However, our Mosconi Effect algorithm predicts VXX will close DOWN Tue.
| qPath | %VXX |
| Days |
|
| Avg |
| StDevP | | Sep 24 | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | | 4.4 | -17.35 | 14.12 | 2 | 5 | -8.68 | 2.82 | 1.85 | 2.31 | | 444 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | | 4442 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | | 44424 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | | M-path | %VXX |
| Days |
|
| Avg |
| StDevP | | Sep 24 | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | | 2 days | -293.43 | 209.52 | 95 | 57 | -3.09 | 3.68 | 2.25 | 3.59 | | 3 days | -149.15 | 132.38 | 54 | 41 | -2.76 | 3.23 | 2.01 | 3.06 | | 4 days | -63.70 | 40.68 | 26 | 14 | -2.45 | 2.91 | 2.13 | 2.71 | | 5 days | -34.21 | 20.66 | 15 | 5 | -2.28 | 4.13 | 1.63 | 3.35 | | 6 days | -11.73 | 17.38 | 6 | 3 | -1.95 | 5.79 | 1.36 | 3.42 |
Fri, Sep 21, 2012 4:00 PM EDST new Sep 21
First time ever that we've had six consecutive VXX closes in dreaded quads 2,4 causing qPath algorithm predictions for Mon Aug 24 to be almost non-existent. However, our Mosconi Effect algorithm predicts VXX will close UP Mon.
| qPath | %VXX |
| Days |
|
| Avg |
| StDevP | | Sep 21 | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | | 4.4 | -17.35 | 14.12 | 2 | 5 | -8.68 | 2.82 | 1.85 | 2.31 | | 442 | 0.00 | 0.23 | 0 | 1 | — | 0.23 | — | 0.00 | | 4424 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | | 44244 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | | M-path | %VXX |
| Days |
|
| Avg |
| StDevP | | Sep 21 | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | | 2 days | -293.43 | 209.52 | 95 | 57 | -3.09 | 3.68 | 2.25 | 3.59 | | 3 days | -143.84 | 77.14 | 40 | 16 | -3.60 | 4.82 | 2.44 | 4.49 | | 4 days | -69.06 | 46.50 | 20 | 9 | -3.45 | 5.17 | 2.37 | 5.63 | | 5 days | -28.51 | 39.58 | 9 | 8 | -3.17 | 4.95 | 2.69 | 5.94 | | 6 days | -0.52 | 23.83 | 1 | 4 | -0.52 | 5.96 | 0.00 | 7.47 |
Thu, Sep 20, 2012 5:00 P M EDST new Sep 20
Our 'quad quads 2,4' hangover is showing it's ugly headache, it's now a 'quint quads 2,4' hangover . We've never had five consecutive days of VXX closing in quads 2,4. Our Mosconi Effect algorithm predicts VXX will close UP tomorrow Fri Aug 21.
| qPath | %VXX |
| Days |
|
| Avg |
| StDevP | | Sep 20 | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | | 4.2 | -14.05 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | -4.68 | — | 1.57 | — | | 424 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | | 4244 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | | 42442 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | | M-path | %VXX |
| Days |
|
| Avg |
| StDevP | | Sep 20 | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | | 2 days | -192.08 | 124.98 | 56 | 41 | -3.43 | 3.05 | 2.50 | 2.73 | | 3 days | -99.72 | 71.91 | 29 | 22 | -3.44 | 3.27 | 2.95 | 2.56 | | 4 days | -62.89 | 57.12 | 17 | 14 | -3.70 | 4.08 | 3.45 | 2.72 | | 5 days | -33.84 | 12.65 | 5 | 3 | -6.77 | 4.22 | 3.32 | 2.63 | | 6 days | -4.27 | 5.61 | 1 | 2 | -4.27 | 2.8 | 0.00 | 2.09 |
Wed, Sep 19, 2012 4:00 PM EDST new Sep 19
| qPath | %VXX |
| Days |
|
| Avg |
| StDevP | | Sep 19 | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | | 2.4 | -2.02 | 2.21 | 1 | 1 | -2.02 | 2.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | | 244 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | | 2442 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | | 24423 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | | M-path | %VXX |
| Days |
|
| Avg |
| StDevP | | Sep 19 | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | | 2 days | -146.69 | 139.22 | 51 | 46 | -2.88 | 3.03 | 2.16 | 3.02 | | 3 days | -81.78 | 47.75 | 31 | 25 | -2.64 | 1.91 | 2.37 | 2.84 | | 4 days | -20.33 | 9.12 | 8 | 7 | -2.54 | 1.30 | 1.73 | 1.42 | | 5 days | -10.60 | 7.42 | 3 | 5 | -3.53 | 1.48 | 2.12 | 1.63 | | 6 days | -10.60 | 6.1 | 3 | 4 | -3.53 | 1.53 | 2.12 | 1.81 |
Tue, Sep 18, 2012 1:00 PM EDST new Sep 18
| qPath | %VXX |
| Days |
|
| Avg |
| StDevP | | Sep 18 | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | | 4.4 | -17.35 | 13.89 | 2 | 4 | -8.68 | 3.47 | 1.85 | 2.14 | | 442 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | | 4423 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | | 44233 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | | M-path | %VXX |
| Days |
|
| Avg |
| StDevP | | Sep 18 | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | | 2 days | -293.43 | 209.29 | 95 | 56 | -3.09 | 3.74 | 2.25 | 3.59 | | 3 days | -143.84 | 76.91 | 40 | 15 | -3.60 | 5.13 | 2.44 | 4.48 | | 4 days | -69.06 | 46.27 | 20 | 8 | -3.45 | 5.78 | 2.37 | 5.68 | | 5 days | -28.51 | 39.35 | 9 | 7 | -3.17 | 5.62 | 2.69 | 6.06 | | 6 days | -27.98 | 15.52 | 8 | 3 | -3.50 | 5.17 | 2.68 | 3.29 |
Mon, Sep 17, 2012 4:00 P M EDST new Sep 17
| qPath | %VXX |
| Days |
|
| Avg |
| StDevP | | Sep 17 | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | | 4.2 | -11.40 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | -5.70 | — | 0.76 | — | | 423 | -11.40 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | -5.70 | — | 0.76 | — | | 4233 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | | 42333 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | | M-path | %VXX |
| Days |
|
| Avg |
| StDevP | | Sep 17 | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | | 2 days | -189.43 | 124.98 | 55 | 41 | -3.44 | 3.05 | 2.52 | 2.73 | | 3 days | -97.07 | 71.91 | 28 | 22 | -3.47 | 3.27 | 3.00 | 2.56 | | 4 days | -60.25 | 57.12 | 16 | 14 | -3.77 | 4.08 | 3.55 | 2.72 | | 5 days | -26.41 | 44.48 | 11 | 11 | -2.40 | 4.04 | 2.71 | 2.74 | | 6 days | -5.41 | 13.99 | 2 | 3 | -2.70 | 4.66 | 1.48 | 2.63 |
Fri, Sep 14, 2012 3:10 PM EDST new Sep 14
| qPath | %VXX |
| Days |
|
| Avg |
| StDevP | | Sep 14 | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | | 2.3 | -19.62 | 11.37 | 7 | 5 | -2.80 | 2.27 | 1.56 | 1.60 | | 233 | -5.78 | 10.45 | 2 | 4 | -2.89 | 2.61 | 1.28 | 1.62 | | 2333 | 0.00 | 3.11 | 0 | 1 | — | 3.11 | — | 0.00 | | 23331 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | | M-path | %VXX |
| Days |
|
| Avg |
| StDevP | | Sep 14 | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | | 2 days | -145.49 | 139.22 | 50 | 46 | -2.91 | 3.03 | 2.17 | 3.02 | | 3 days | -80.58 | 47.75 | 30 | 25 | -2.69 | 1.91 | 2.39 | 2.84 | | 4 days | -60.25 | 38.62 | 22 | 18 | -2.74 | 2.15 | 2.59 | 3.19 | | 5 days | -15.51 | 23.72 | 5 | 8 | -3.10 | 2.96 | 2.56 | 4.51 | | 6 days | -7.01 | 14.49 | 2 | 2 | -3.51 | 7.24 | 1.33 | 7.24 |
Thu, Sep 13, 2012 11: 15 PM EDST new Sep 13
Based on our algorithms strong DOWN predictions below, we're forecasting VXX will close DOWN again tomorrow Fri Sep 14.
Thu, Sep 13, 2012 1:10 PM EDST new Sep 13
Our algorithms predictions below, assuming VXX closes DOWN in quad 3 today, show that both our qPath and Mosconi Effect algorithms strongly predict that VXX will close DOWN again tomorrow Fri Sep 14.
| qPath | %VXX |
| Days |
|
| Avg |
| StDevP | | Sep 13 | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | | 3.3 | -157.87 | 137.61 | 56 | 37 | -2.82 | 3.72 | 2.13 | 3.69 | | 331 | -78.76 | 42.55 | 21 | 7 | -3.75 | 6.08 | 2.75 | 5.87 | | 3313 | -34.01 | 22.38 | 10 | 3 | -3.40 | 7.46 | 2.65 | 8.08 | | 33133 | -17.13 | 22.38 | 6 | 3 | -2.86 | 7.46 | 2.70 | 8.08 | | M-path | %VXX |
| Days |
|
| Avg |
| StDevP | | Sep 13 | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | | 2 days | -286.01 | 205.56 | 94 | 55 | -3.04 | 3.74 | 2.22 | 3.63 | | 3 days | -136.42 | 76.91 | 39 | 15 | -3.50 | 5.13 | 2.39 | 4.48 | | 4 days | -61.64 | 46.27 | 19 | 8 | -3.24 | 5.78 | 2.25 | 5.68 | | 5 days | -21.08 | 39.35 | 8 | 7 | -2.63 | 5.62 | 2.37 | 6.06 | | 6 days | -20.56 | 15.52 | 7 | 3 | -2.94 | 5.17 | 2.38 | 3.29 |
Wed, Sep 12, 2012 9:40 AM EDST new Sep 12
| qPath | %VXX |
| Days |
|
| Avg |
| StDevP | | Sep 12 | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | | 3.3 | -157.87 | 137.61 | 56 | 37 | -2.82 | 3.72 | 2.13 | 3.69 | | 331 | -78.76 | 42.55 | 21 | 7 | -3.75 | 6.08 | 2.75 | 5.87 | | 3313 | -34.01 | 22.38 | 10 | 3 | -3.40 | 7.46 | 2.65 | 8.08 | | 33133 | -17.13 | 22.38 | 6 | 3 | -2.86 | 7.46 | 2.70 | 8.08 | | M-path | %VXX |
| Days |
|
| Avg |
| StDevP | | Sep 12 | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | | 2 days | -286.01 | 205.56 | 94 | 55 | -3.04 | 3.74 | 2.22 | 3.63 | | 3 days | -136.42 | 76.91 | 39 | 15 | -3.50 | 5.13 | 2.39 | 4.48 | | 4 days | -61.64 | 46.27 | 19 | 8 | -3.24 | 5.78 | 2.25 | 5.68 | | 5 days | -21.08 | 39.35 | 8 | 7 | -2.63 | 5.62 | 2.37 | 6.06 | | 6 days | -20.56 | 15.52 | 7 | 3 | -2.94 | 5.17 | 2.38 | 3.29 |
Tue, Sep 11, 2012 11:00 PM EDST new Sep 11
Our algorithms predictions below, assuming quad 4 close would have been quad 3, show that our qPath algorithm strongly predicts that VXX will close DOWN tomorrow Wed Sep 12.
So, based on Frog's 'erudite, ever-clear guidance' and these qPath predictions, we're forecasting VXX will close DOWNtomorrow Wed Sep 12.
| qPath | %VXX |
| Days |
|
| Avg |
| StDevP | | Sep 11 | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | | 3.1 | -112.63 | 73.89 | 32 | 23 | -3.52 | 3.21 | 2.86 | 2.92 | | 313 | -58.45 | 29.59 | 15 | 9 | -3.90 | 3.29 | 3.14 | 2.46 | | 3133 | -40.65 | 14.34 | 10 | 4 | -4.06 | 3.59 | 3.69 | 2.50 | | 31333 | -12.18 | 2.41 | 6 | 2 | -2.03 | 1.21 | 1.87 | 0.08 | | M-path | %VXX |
| Days |
|
| Avg |
| StDevP | | Sep 11 | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | | 2 days | -186.39 | 124.98 | 54 | 41 | -3.45 | 3.05 | 2.54 | 2.73 | | 3 days | -94.03 | 71.91 | 27 | 22 | -3.48 | 3.27 | 3.05 | 2.56 | | 4 days | -57.20 | 57.12 | 15 | 14 | -3.81 | 4.08 | 3.66 | 2.72 | | 5 days | -23.37 | 44.48 | 10 | 11 | -2.34 | 4.04 | 2.83 | 2.74 | | 6 days | -17.96 | 30.49 | 8 | 8 | -2.25 | 3.81 | 3.07 | 2.75 |
Tue, Sep 11, 2012 4:00 PM EDST new Sep 11
| qPath | %VXX |
| Days |
|
| Avg |
| StDevP | | Sep 11 | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | | 3.1 | -112.63 | 73.89 | 32 | 23 | -3.52 | 3.21 | 2.86 | 2.92 | | 313 | -58.45 | 29.59 | 15 | 9 | -3.90 | 3.29 | 3.14 | 2.46 | | 3133 | -40.65 | 14.34 | 10 | 4 | -4.06 | 3.59 | 3.69 | 2.50 | | 31334 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | | M-path | %VXX |
| Days |
|
| Avg |
| StDevP | | Sep 11 | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | | 2 days | -186.39 | 124.98 | 54 | 41 | -3.45 | 3.05 | 2.54 | 2.73 | | 3 days | -94.03 | 71.91 | 27 | 22 | -3.48 | 3.27 | 3.05 | 2.56 | | 4 days | -57.20 | 57.12 | 15 | 14 | -3.81 | 4.08 | 3.66 | 2.72 | | 5 days | -23.37 | 44.48 | 10 | 11 | -2.34 | 4.04 | 2.83 | 2.74 | | 6 days | -17.96 | 30.49 | 8 | 8 | -2.25 | 3.81 | 3.07 | 2.75 |
Tue, Sep 11, 2012 7:30 AM EDST new Sep 11
Based on Mosconi Effect M-path predictions alone below, we forecast VXX will close DOWN today Tue Sep 11.
Tue, Sep 11, 2012 6:45 AM EDST new Sep 11
"The contours of the VIX over time suggest that it is more likely to move up than down from its current level," Subramanian says. When the VIX has been at this level or lower, it has risen over the next 12 months about two-thirds of the time, she adds. The VIX sat beneath 20 for much of July and August, and hit a five-year low of 13.45 on Aug. 17. Those levels typically are reached during times of strong economic growth and broad market confidence. The VIX last consistently traded below the 14 from late 2005 through the summer of 2007, when the S&P 500 climbed about 33%. The time before that was from 1993 through 1995, when the benchmark stock index soared more than 40%. Recently, the VIX climbed 32% in the three weeks leading up to last Thursday's European Central Bank meeting, suggesting heightened levels of investor concern leading up to the event.
Mon, Sep 10, 2012 2:00 PM EDST new Sep 10
| qPath | %VXX |
| Days |
|
| Avg |
| StDevP | | Sep 10 | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | | 1.3 | -80.56 | 111.05 | 31 | 33 | -2.60 | 3.37 | 1.95 | 3.08 | | 133 | -45.44 | 28.59 | 19 | 11 | -2.39 | 2.60 | 1.97 | 3.90 | | 1334 | -1.03 | 10.59 | 1 | 5 | -1.03 | 2.12 | 0.00 | 1.03 | | 13344 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | | M-path | %VXX |
| Days |
|
| Avg |
| StDevP | | Sep 10 | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | | 2 days | -144.79 | 139.22 | 49 | 46 | -2.95 | 3.03 | 2.17 | 3.02 | | 3 days | -79.87 | 47.75 | 29 | 25 | -2.75 | 1.91 | 2.40 | 2.84 | | 4 days | -59.54 | 38.62 | 21 | 18 | -2.84 | 2.15 | 2.61 | 3.19 | | 5 days | -44.04 | 14.91 | 16 | 10 | -2.75 | 1.49 | 2.62 | 1.04 | | 6 days | -34.88 | 10.04 | 10 | 6 | -3.49 | 1.67 | 2.83 | 1.02 |
Fri, Sep 7, 2012 11:10 AM EDST new Sep 7
Our qPath and Mosconi Effect M-path algorithms' predictions below for VXX close Mon Sep 10, assuming VXX closes DOWN today in quad 3, show that Mosconi Effect M-path predicts VXX will close UP Mon and that qPath predictions are still being interfered with by back-to-back quad 4 closes.
| qPath | %VXX |
| Days |
|
| Avg |
| StDevP | | Sep 7 | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | | 3.3 | -157.87 | 132.09 | 56 | 36 | -2.82 | 3.67 | 2.13 | 3.73 | | 334 | -9.74 | 26.43 | 7 | 9 | -1.39 | 2.94 | 0.60 | 2.17 | | 3344 | 0.00 | 3.04 | 0 | 1 | — | 3.04 | — | 0.00 | | 33443 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | | M-path | %VXX |
| Days |
|
| Avg |
| StDevP | | Sep 7 | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | | 2 days | -280.58 | 200.04 | 93 | 54 | -3.02 | 3.70 | 2.21 | 3.65 | | 3 days | -143.72 | 123.13 | 53 | 39 | -2.71 | 3.16 | 2.00 | 3.11 | | 4 days | -78.65 | 86.18 | 26 | 26 | -3.02 | 3.31 | 1.83 | 3.24 | | 5 days | -15.71 | 55.03 | 10 | 16 | -1.57 | 3.44 | 0.90 | 3.66 | | 6 days | -12.78 | 45.64 | 6 | 10 | -2.13 | 4.56 | 0.64 | 4.03 |
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Fri, Sep 7, 2012 11:10 AM EDST new Sep 7
Our qPath and Mosconi Effect M-path algorithms' predictions below for VXX close Mon Sep 10, assuming VXX closes DOWN today in quad 3, show that Mosconi Effect M-path predicts VXX will close UP Mon and that qPath predictions are still being interfered with by back-to-back quad 4 closes.
| qPath | %VXX |
| Days |
|
| Avg |
| StDevP | | Sep 7 | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | | 3.3 | -157.87 | 132.09 | 56 | 36 | -2.82 | 3.67 | 2.13 | 3.73 | | 334 | -9.74 | 26.43 | 7 | 9 | -1.39 | 2.94 | 0.60 | 2.17 | | 3344 | 0.00 | 3.04 | 0 | 1 | — | 3.04 | — | 0.00 | | 33443 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | | M-path | %VXX |
| Days |
|
| Avg |
| StDevP | | Sep 7 | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | | 2 days | -280.58 | 200.04 | 93 | 54 | -3.02 | 3.70 | 2.21 | 3.65 | | 3 days | -143.72 | 123.13 | 53 | 39 | -2.71 | 3.16 | 2.00 | 3.11 | | 4 days | -78.65 | 86.18 | 26 | 26 | -3.02 | 3.31 | 1.83 | 3.24 | | 5 days | -15.71 | 55.03 | 10 | 16 | -1.57 | 3.44 | 0.90 | 3.66 | | 6 days | -12.78 | 45.64 | 6 | 10 | -2.13 | 4.56 | 0.64 | 4.03 |
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Thu, Sep 6, 2012 11:20 PM EDST new Sep 6
Frog's Amazing Prediction: On Jul 16, when VXX = 13.70, Frog predicted VXX would crash to 10 by end of Aug. No one believed Frog then, including us — and no one on the internet was predicting the same.
But, since Frog has been far more right than we have, we started tracking VXX with a regression analysis of data since Jun 1. Every day it looked better and better for Frog's prediction.
Well, Frog was right. VXX closed DOWN today Thu Sep 6 at 9.85, DOWN 56% from 22.59 Jun 1, just 2 days after Frog's full moon target.
Good job again, Frog. You deserve more RESPECT from everyone.
Frog also advised us to make a forecast yesterday for today's VXX close. We listened to Frog. He was right again, and our forecast yesterday that VXX would close DOWN today was 'extremely' right. Thanks again Frog for the advice.
Frog is still submerged, so we're flying alone today.
Our qPath and Mosconi Effect M-path algorithms' predictions for VXX close Fri Sep 7 below show that Mosconi Effect M-path predicts VXX will close DOWN tomorrow and that qPath predictions are being interfered with by back-to-back quad 4 closes.
Based on Mosconi Effect M-path predictions alone, we forecast VXX will close DOWN again tomorrow Fri Sep 7.
| qPath | %VXX |
| Days |
|
| Avg |
| StDevP | | Sep 6 | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | | 3.3 | -157.87 | 132.09 | 56 | 36 | -2.82 | 3.67 | 2.13 | 3.73 | | 334 | -9.74 | 26.43 | 7 | 9 | -1.39 | 2.94 | 0.60 | 2.17 | | 3343 | -4.60 | 11.02 | 4 | 4 | -1.15 | 2.75 | 0.62 | 1.95 | | 34431 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | | M-path | %VXX |
| Days |
|
| Avg |
| StDevP | | Sep 6 | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | | 2 days | -270.06 | 200.04 | 92 | 54 | -2.94 | 3.70 | 2.08 | 3.65 | | 3 days | -133.20 | 123.13 | 52 | 39 | -2.56 | 3.16 | 1.70 | 3.11 | | 4 days | -78.65 | 86.18 | 26 | 26 | -3.02 | 3.31 | 1.83 | 3.24 | | 5 days | -62.94 | 30.87 | 16 | 9 | -3.93 | 3.43 | 1.68 | 2.32 | | 6 days | -27.06 | 7.35 | 6 | 4 | -4.51 | 1.84 | 1.16 | 1.40 |
Wed, Sep 5, 2012 11:00 PM EDST new Sep 5
Before Frog went 'submerged,' he called to give us some advice, "Bite the dog that bit you." Got it Frog.
Not only are we going to bite the dog that bit us, we're going to have a hair of that dog — and forecast that VXX will closeDOWN tomorrow Thu Sep 6. Look for VXX to hit an historic low Thu and break 11. It closed DOWN today at 11.21, and our regression trend line is still pointing down, predicting VXX will crash through 10 next week.
In case you haven't been following us, dreaded quads 2 and 4 interfered with our forecasts 15 of 23 days last month, causing us to have our worst month ever forecasting next-day VXX close. We were only able to make 3 forecasts in Aug and 2 were wrong. That's our 'dirty linen' for the month of Aug — Unless the Butterfly in Brazil passes gas, Sep will be better :)
Important Trivia We believe Frog invented the phrase, " Butterfly in Brazil passes gas" — It and Frog are #1 of 513 million pages today on Google ® Search.
Congratulations Frog when you come up for air. You are truly a literary genius and a master of verbal eloquence and erudition, amongst your many other talents.
Wed, Sep 5, 2012 4:00 PM EDST new Sep 5
Our qPath and Mosconi Effect M-path algorithms' predictions for VXX close Thu Sep 6 below. VXX closed down today in dreaded quad 4, first time ever that 3 of qPath 5 days were quads 2,4. There will be some really big quads' hangovers until net Wed. Frog says, "He's gonna go submerged."
| qPath | %VXX |
| Days |
|
| Avg |
| StDevP | | Sep 5 | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | | 4.3 | -57.18 | 20.24 | 17 | 5 | -3.36 | 4.05 | 1.98 | 3.99 | | 443 | 0.00 | 4.17 | 0 | 2 | — | 2.09 | — | 0.94 | | 4431 | 0.00 | 3.03 | 0 | 1 | — | 3.03 | — | 0.00 | | 44312 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | | M-path | %VXX |
| Days |
|
| Avg |
| StDevP | | Sep 5 | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | | 2 days | -267.43 | 200.04 | 91 | 54 | -2.94 | 3.70 | 2.09 | 3.65 | | 3 days | -133.20 | 123.13 | 52 | 39 | -2.56 | 3.16 | 1.70 | 3.11 | | 4 days | -53.18 | 36.95 | 25 | 13 | -2.13 | 2.84 | 1.42 | 2.80 | | 5 days | -18.97 | 20.01 | 10 | 9 | -1.90 | 2.22 | 0.98 | 1.97 | | 6 days | -7.49 | 11.41 | 4 | 3 | -1.87 | 3.8 | 1.36 | 2.64 |
Tue, Sep 4, 2012 4:00 PM EDST new Sep 4
Our qPath and Mosconi Effect M-path algorithms' predictions for VXX close Wed Sep 5: VXX closed down today in dreaded quad 4. It's not fun living with an eternal quads 2,4 hangover.
| qPath | %VXX |
| Days |
|
| Avg |
| StDevP | | Sep 4 | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | | 4.3 | -57.18 | 20.24 | 17 | 5 | -3.36 | 4.05 | 1.98 | 3.99 | | 431 | -10.97 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | -3.66 | — | 1.28 | — | | 4312 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | | 43121 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | | M-path | %VXX |
| Days |
|
| Avg |
| StDevP | | Sep 4 | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | (-) | (+) | | 2 days | -267.43 | 200.04 | 91 | 54 | -2.94 | 3.70 | 2.09 | 3.65 | | 3 days | -133.79 | 76.91 | 38 | 15 | -3.52 | 5.13 | 2.42 | 4.48 | | 4 days | -72.15 | 30.64 | 19 | 7 | -3.80 | 4.38 | 2.55 | 2.24 | | 5 days | -35.31 | 20.66 | 7 | 4 | -5.04 | 5.16 | 1.68 | 1.92 | | 6 days | -7.68 | 14.17 | 2 | 3 | -3.84 | 4.72 | 0.38 | 2.04 |
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