Axel Gottfries

Reader (Associate Professor), University of Edinburgh

ERC Starting Grant (2026-2030): "Collusion and Imperfect Competition in Labor Markets: A Unified Approach" 

Research interests: Macroeconomics, Labor economics 

Contact information: axel(dot)gottfries(at)gmail.com. CV: Link

Publications

A Job Ladder Model with Stochastic Employment Opportunities [online appendix, replication files]

with Jake Bradley, Quantitative Economics, November 2021

Firm Dynamics, On-the-Job Search and Labor Market Fluctuations  [online appendix, replication files]

with Mike Elsby, Review of Economic Studies, May 2022

Returns to On-the-Job Search and Wage Dispersion

with Coen Teulings, Labour Economics, January 2023

Vacancy Chains  [replication files]

with Mike Elsby, Ryan Michaels and David Ratner, Journal of Political Economy, November 2025

Labor Market Dynamics and Growth [online appendix, replication files]

with Jake Bradley, Journal of the European Economic Association, February 2026 

Noncompetes and Firm Heterogeneity [replication files] 

with Gregor Jarosch, AEA Papers and Proceedings, May 2026 

Bargaining with Renegotiation in Models with On-the-Job Search [replication files] 

Review of Economic Dynamics, August 2026 

Wage Adjustment in Efficient Long-Term Employment Relationships 

with  Mike Elsby, Pawel Krolikowski, and Gary Solon [updated: July 2025; forthcoming American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics]

Working papers

Wage Fixing

with Gregor Jarosch [updated: April 2026]

Heterogeneous Mobility in Dynamic Labor Market Equilibrium

with Michael Amior and Mike Elsby [updated: May 2025; r&r American Economic Review]

Dynamic Monopsony with Large Firms

with Gregor Jarosch [updated: March 2026; r&r Econometrica] 

Work in progress

How Long is the Long run?  Theory and Evidence from a Swedish Tax Reform 

with Timo Boppart, Hannes Malmberg and Kurt Mitman