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Simulation Modelling

The goal of this work are to characterize the interactive roles of climate, fire, and management in shaping the region’s ecological communities using the LANDIS-II framework. This work will evaluate the capacity of climate change to trigger a transition between alternative landscape states (forest dominated vs. SCH dominated) through its influence on fire regime and forest recovery rate. This work will also evaluate the role of land management in shaping alternative landscape states through its influence on fire regime, forest composition, and forest recovery rate and determine if management actions count delay or prevent critical transitions at the landscape or regional scale.